Match Info

ISRAEL: Leumit League - Round 19

Date: 17 January 2025, Friday


	Hapoel Nof HaGalil		Hapoel Umm al-Fahm

	1	X	2
	1.72	3.5	4
	1.74	3.6	4
	1.76	3.78	4.33	Watch
	1.69	3.92	3.98
	1.74	3.6	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↑ (1.66)	3.68 ↓ (3.7)	4.06 ↓ (4.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hapoel Nof HaGalil
52.7%

Draw
24.8%

Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
22.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54%

24.2%

21.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.1%

22%

24%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hapoel Nof HaGalil has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Hapoel Umm al-Fahm has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hapoel Nof HaGalil than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hapoel Umm al-Fahm than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Hapoel Nof HaGalil - Hapoel Umm al Fahm Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
15', 1 - 0, Rabinovich O. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
81', 1 - 1, Buganim R. ⚽,
83', Emeka A. 🟥,
85', 2 - 1, Azulay D. ⚽,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 13 in the zone Leumit League (Relegation Group: ) and 16 in the zone Leumit League (Relegation Group: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Hapoel Nof HaGalil won 3.

Hapoel Nof HaGalil is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Hapoel Umm al-Fahm has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recently Hapoel Umm al-Fahm have a series of home games.

In this match Hapoel Nof HaGalil is a favorite.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Hapoel Nof HaGalil won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 12:12 (average 1.1:1.1).

Including matches at home between the teams Hapoel Nof HaGalil won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10:9 (average 1.7:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hapoel Nof HaGalil
Israeli Liga Leumit
13.01.25	Hapoel Kfar Shalem - Hapoel Nof HaGalil	4:3 ✺
03.01.25	Hapoel Ramat Gan - Hapoel Nof HaGalil	3:1 ✺
20.12.24	Hapoel Nof HaGalil - Hapoel Ra`anana	0:0 ✺
13.12.24	Hapoel Nof HaGalil - Ironi Ramat HaSharon	1:4 ✺
06.12.24	Hapoel Petah Tikva - Hapoel Nof HaGalil	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LLTLW
- Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
Israeli Liga Leumit
13.01.25	Hapoel Umm al-Fahm - Hapoel Ra`anana	2:3 ✺
06.01.25	Ironi Ramat HaSharon - Hapoel Umm al-Fahm	2:1 ✺
Israeli State Cup
29.12.24	Hapoel Umm al-Fahm - Maccabi Netanya	0:2 ✺
Israeli Liga Leumit
20.12.24	Hapoel Umm al-Fahm - Hapoel Petah Tikva	0:1 ✺
13.12.24	Hapoel Umm al-Fahm - Hapoel Rishon LeZion	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Israeli Liga Leumit
12.09.24	Hapoel Umm al-Fahm - Hapoel Nof HaGalil	0:1
17.05.24	Hapoel Nof HaGalil - Hapoel Umm al-Fahm	2:1
23.02.24	Hapoel Umm al-Fahm - Hapoel Nof HaGalil	2:1
20.11.23	Hapoel Nof HaGalil - Hapoel Umm al-Fahm	5:2
14.02.23	Hapoel Umm al-Fahm - Hapoel Nof HaGalil	1:0
21.10.22	Hapoel Nof HaGalil - Hapoel Umm al-Fahm	0:2
02.04.21	Hapoel Nof HaGalil - Hapoel Umm al-Fahm	1:0

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