Match Info

ISRAEL: Leumit League - Round 16

Date: 20 December 2024, Friday


	Hapoel Umm al-Fahm		Hapoel Petah Tikva

	1	X	2
				Watch
	5.5	4.1	1.44
	5.8	4.2	1.45
	6.52	4.41	1.45
	6.54	4.39	1.46	Watch
	6.58	4.3	1.4
	5.8	4.2	1.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.12 ↑ (5.61)	4.27 ↑ (3.9)	1.44 ↓ (1.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
15%

Draw
21.5%

Hapoel Petah Tikva
63.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.3%

23.4%

60.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.9%

22.9%

61.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hapoel Umm al-Fahm has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Hapoel Petah Tikva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hapoel Umm al-Fahm than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hapoel Petah Tikva than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	40%	60%

Hapoel Umm al Fahm - Hapoel Petah Tikva Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Hapoel Petah Tikva will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
77', 0 - 1, Peretz O. ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Leumit League (Relegation Group: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Leumit League (Promotion Group: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Hapoel Umm al-Fahm won 1.

Hapoel Umm al-Fahm is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Hapoel Petah Tikva is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Hapoel Petah Tikva is a favorite.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Hapoel Umm al-Fahm won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 14:16 (average 1.1:1.2).

Including matches at home between the teams Hapoel Umm al-Fahm won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 10:10 (average 1.4:1.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
Israeli Liga Leumit
13.12.24	Hapoel Umm al-Fahm - Hapoel Rishon LeZion	0:1 ✺
06.12.24	Bnei Yehuda - Hapoel Umm al-Fahm	2:0 ✺
Israeli State Cup
29.11.24	Hapoel Umm al-Fahm - Hapoel Kfar Saba	2:1 ✺
Israeli Liga Leumit
11.11.24	Hapoel Umm al-Fahm - Hapoel Afula	0:0 ✺
01.11.24	Maccabi Jaffa - Hapoel Umm al-Fahm	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LLWTL
- Hapoel Petah Tikva
Israeli Liga Leumit
13.12.24	Hapoel Kfar Shalem - Hapoel Petah Tikva	2:0 ✺
06.12.24	Hapoel Petah Tikva - Hapoel Nof HaGalil	2:3 ✺
Israeli State Cup
01.12.24	Hapoel Petah Tikva - Hapoel Hod Hasharon	5:0 ✺
Israeli Liga Leumit
08.11.24	Hapoel Ra`anana - Hapoel Petah Tikva	1:1 ✺
01.11.24	Hapoel Petah Tikva - Ironi Ramat HaSharon	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Israeli Liga Leumit
26.08.24	Hapoel Petah Tikva - Hapoel Umm al-Fahm	2:1
01.05.23	Hapoel Umm al-Fahm - Hapoel Petah Tikva	1:0
17.03.23	Hapoel Petah Tikva - Hapoel Umm al-Fahm	2:0
16.12.22	Hapoel Umm al-Fahm - Hapoel Petah Tikva	0:2
08.04.22	Hapoel Petah Tikva - Hapoel Umm al-Fahm	2:1
28.01.22	Hapoel Umm al-Fahm - Hapoel Petah Tikva	2:3
08.10.21	Hapoel Petah Tikva - Hapoel Umm al-Fahm	0:0

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