Match Info

Date: 15 September 2022, Thursday

Location: HaMoshava Stadium (Petah Tikva)


	Hapoel Petah Tikva		Agudat Sport Ashdod

	1	X	2
	1.98	3	3.5
	2.05	2.9	3.6
	2.03	3.1	3.4
	1.98	2.96	4.39
	1.98	2.94	4.05	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↓ (2.01)	2.98 ↑ (2.98)	3.79 ↑ (3.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hapoel Petah Tikva
45.4%

Draw
30.5%

Agudat Sport Ashdod
24%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.6%

30.1%

25.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.7%

29.4%

24.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hapoel Petah Tikva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Agudat Sport Ashdod has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hapoel Petah Tikva than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Agudat Sport Ashdod than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	58.3%	25%

Hapoel Petah Tikva - Agudat Sport Ashdod Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Hapoel Petah Tikva will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). AS Ashdod will win (votes: 3 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 58.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 30.4% – 86.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Leumit League (Promotion Group) and 16 in the zone Leumit League (Relegation Group)).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Agudat Sport Ashdod could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Hapoel Petah Tikva will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Hapoel Petah Tikva won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 2-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Hapoel Petah Tikva won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hapoel Petah Tikva
Israeli Liga Leumit
12.09.22	Bnei Yehuda - Hapoel Petah Tikva	1:0 ✺
05.09.22	Hapoel Petah Tikva - Hapoel Kfar Saba	0:1 ✺
25.08.22	Maccabi Jaffa - Hapoel Petah Tikva	1:2 ✺
18.08.22	Hapoel Petah Tikva - Kafr Qasim	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
18.07.22	Agudat Sport Ashdod - Hapoel Petah Tikva	0:1
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 LLWWW
- Agudat Sport Ashdod
Israeli Liga Leumit
08.09.22	Agudat Sport Ashdod - Hapoel Ramat Gan	2:0 ✺
05.09.22	Hapoel Rishon LeZion - Agudat Sport Ashdod	2:0 ✺
25.08.22	Agudat Sport Ashdod - Ironi Ramat HaSharon	0:0 ✺
22.08.22	Maccabi Ahi Nazareth - Agudat Sport Ashdod	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
18.07.22	Agudat Sport Ashdod - Hapoel Petah Tikva	0:1
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
18.07.22	Agudat Sport Ashdod - Hapoel Petah Tikva	0:1
Israeli Liga Leumit
06.05.22	Hapoel Petah Tikva - Agudat Sport Ashdod	1:1
03.01.22	Agudat Sport Ashdod - Hapoel Petah Tikva	1:0
09.09.21	Hapoel Petah Tikva - Agudat Sport Ashdod	0:1
Israeli State Cup
19.12.19	Agudat Sport Ashdod - Hapoel Petah Tikva	1:0 ET

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