Match Info

ISRAEL: Leumit League - Round 22

Date: 4 February 2025, Tuesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Israel	5 STARS Israel


	Maccabi Jaffa		Hapoel Petah Tikva

	1	X	2
	4.1	3.5	1.7
	4.1	3.65	1.71
	4.02	4.01	1.74
	4.33	3.81	1.75	Watch
	4.37	3.64	1.77
	4.1	3.65	1.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.17 ↓ (5.26)	3.71 ↓ (3.91)	1.73 ↑ (1.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maccabi Jaffa
22.1%

Draw
24.8%

Hapoel Petah Tikva
53.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.3%

23.3%

59.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.4%

23.4%

59.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maccabi Jaffa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

Hapoel Petah Tikva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hapoel Petah Tikva might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maccabi Jaffa than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hapoel Petah Tikva than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hapoel Petah Tikva could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	22.2%	44.4%

Maccabi Jaffa - Hapoel Petah Tikva Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Maccabi Jaffa will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Hapoel Petah Tikva will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hapoel Petah Tikva: 11.9% – 76.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
35', 0 - 1, David R. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
49', 0 - 2, Rohana E. ⚽,
60', 0 - 3, David R. ⚽,

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 14 in the zone Leumit League (Relegation Group: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Leumit League (Promotion Group: )).

Maccabi Jaffa is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Hapoel Petah Tikva is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Hapoel Petah Tikva will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Maccabi Jaffa won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2:5 (average 0.5:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Maccabi Jaffa won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2 (average 0.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maccabi Jaffa
Israeli Liga Leumit
31.01.25	Hapoel Rishon LeZion - Maccabi Jaffa	1:1 ✺
24.01.25	Maccabi Jaffa - Bnei Yehuda	1:2 ✺
17.01.25	Hapoel Afula - Maccabi Jaffa	2:2 ✺
10.01.25	Hapoel Ramat Gan - Maccabi Jaffa	2:1 ✺
03.01.25	Maccabi Jaffa - Hapoel Kfar Saba	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 TLTLL
- Hapoel Petah Tikva
Israeli Liga Leumit
31.01.25	Hapoel Petah Tikva - Hapoel Kfar Saba	1:0 ✺
24.01.25	Maccabi Herzliya - Hapoel Petah Tikva	1:2 ✺
20.01.25	Hapoel Petah Tikva - Hapoel Acre	3:0 ✺
10.01.25	Kafr Qasim - Hapoel Petah Tikva	0:2 ✺
06.01.25	Hapoel Petah Tikva - Hapoel Tel Aviv	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Israeli Liga Leumit
06.10.24	Hapoel Petah Tikva - Maccabi Jaffa	0:0
12.05.23	Maccabi Jaffa - Hapoel Petah Tikva	0:0
30.12.22	Hapoel Petah Tikva - Maccabi Jaffa	3:1
25.08.22	Maccabi Jaffa - Hapoel Petah Tikva	1:2

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