Match Info

Ligat ha'Al - Round 5

Date: 27 September 2025, Saturday

Referee: Naal O. (Isr)

Where to Watch on TV:


Israel	5 LIVE Israel


	Hapoel Petah Tikva		Ironi Tiberias

	1	X	2
	1.53	4.2	4.5	Watch
	1.55	4.05	4.95
	1.6	4.35	4.92
	3.27	2.48	2.78	Watch
	1.57	4.25	5.32	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↓ (1.91)	3.87 ↑ (3.61)	4.49 ↑ (3.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Hapoel Petah Tikva
52.2%

Draw
25.7%

Ironi Tiberias
22.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.3%

25.6%

26.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.8%

25.3%

25.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hapoel Petah Tikva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Ironi Tiberias has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hapoel Petah Tikva than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ironi Tiberias than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	16.7%	0%

Hapoel Petah Tikva - Ironi Tiberias Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

EH -1 - Hapoel Petah Tikva (2.56) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1.5 - Hapoel Petah Tikva (2.56) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 1st Half - Hapoel Petah Tikva (2.10) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Hapoel Petah Tikva will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Hapoel Petah Tikva will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Hapoel Petah Tikva (votes: 7 - 87.5%). Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Katz O. (C) 2. Cohen N. 25. Dgani O. 66. Rotman I. 35. Rosen S. 8. Altman T. 13. Niddam N. 30. Bi J. T. 10. Adeniyi J. 77. Cle 7. Mazal S.	1. Santos R. (G) 17. Unger R. 99. Shapso H. 4. Sambinha 14. Habiballa W. 6. Abu Akel F. 10. Mohammed U. 7. Hadida G. (C) 15. Balilti E. 90. Michael P. 9. Bilenkyi S.
Substitutes
3. Ben Navi R. 20. Cohen I. 16. David R. 11. Golan B. 4. Gosha M. 9. Koszta M. 18. Mashiah A. (G) 23. Nir D. 17. Songa C.	18. Barnes I. 74. Chen N. 11. Gotlieb N. 21. Hasson J. 22. Sharon I. (G) 19. Shviro I. 27. Swisa Y. 5. Teper Y. 2. Yitzhak O.
Coaches
Peretz O.	Hudeda E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
30', Rosen S. ↓, Nir D. ↑,
33', Adeniyi J. 🟥,
39', Shapso H. 🟨,
42', Sambinha 🟨,
42', Mohammed U. 🟨,
45+5', Abu Akel F. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Cle ↓, Songa C. ↑,
46', Shapso H. 🟨,
51', Santos R. 🟨,
52', Balilti E. ↓, Yitzhak O. ↑,
65', Niddam N. ↓, David R. ↑,
66', Michael P. ↓, Gotlieb N. ↑,
66', Abu Akel F. ↓, Teper Y. ↑,
72', 0 - 1, Hadida G. ⚽,
75', Mazal S. 🟨,
77', Mazal S. ↓, Koszta M. ↑,
77', Cohen N. ↓, Golan B. ↑,
82', Nir D. 🟨,
87', Hadida G. ↓, Barnes I. ↑,
88', Mohammed U. ↓, Swisa Y. ↑,
90+4', 0 - 2, Bilenkyi S. ⚽, Habiballa W. (A),

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligat ha'Al (Championship Group: ) and 12 in the zone Ligat ha'Al (Relegation Group: )).

Hapoel Petah Tikva is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Ironi Tiberias's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Hapoel Petah Tikva may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Hapoel Petah Tikva is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Ironi Tiberias: Baco O. (Inactive) Joulani D. (Inactive) Keltjens D. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Hapoel Petah Tikva: Koszta M. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Ironi Tiberias: Velblum E. (Inactive) Yitzhak O. (Injury)

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Hapoel Petah Tikva won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:4. (average 2.3:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Hapoel Petah Tikva won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:4. (average 2.7:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hapoel Petah Tikva
Israeli Ligat haAl
20.09.25	Maccabi Bnei Raina - Hapoel Petah Tikva	1:6 ✺
16.09.25	Hapoel Petah Tikva - Maccabi Tel Aviv	0:4 ✺
13.09.25	Hapoel Petah Tikva - Maccabi Netanya	3:1 ✺
30.08.25	Ironi Kiryat Shmona - Hapoel Petah Tikva	0:0 ✺
Israeli Toto Cup
16.08.25	Hapoel Petah Tikva - Ironi Tiberias	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 WLWTW
- Ironi Tiberias
Israeli Ligat haAl
20.09.25	Maccabi Netanya - Ironi Tiberias	5:2 ✺
13.09.25	Ironi Tiberias - Maccabi Tel Aviv	1:4 ✺
30.08.25	Hapoel Beer Sheva - Ironi Tiberias	7:0 ✺
23.08.25	Ironi Tiberias - Hapoel Haifa	1:0 ✺
Israeli Toto Cup
16.08.25	Hapoel Petah Tikva - Ironi Tiberias	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Israeli Toto Cup
16.08.25	Hapoel Petah Tikva - Ironi Tiberias	3:2
Israeli Liga Leumit
21.04.23	Hapoel Petah Tikva - Ironi Tiberias	3:0
27.01.23	Ironi Tiberias - Hapoel Petah Tikva	0:1
03.10.22	Hapoel Petah Tikva - Ironi Tiberias	2:2

Upcoming Matches