Match Info

Leumit League - Round 8

Date: 1 October 2026, Thursday 🏁 Finished


	Hapoel Ra`anana		Kafr Qasim

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.00	3.40	3.00
	2.02	3.35	3.05
	2.08	3.3	3.24
	2.1	3.51	3.21	Watch
	2.03	3.2	3.15
	2.09	3.78	3.29
	2.02	3.4	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 (2.05)	3.42 ↓ (3.72)	3.14 ↑ (3.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hapoel Ra`anana
44.4%

Draw
26.6%

Kafr Qasim
29%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

45.2%

24.9%

29.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.8%

24.6%

29.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hapoel Ra`anana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Kafr Qasim has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hapoel Ra`anana than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kafr Qasim than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Hapoel Ra`anana - Kafr Qasim Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
20', 0 - 1, Amer K. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
54', 🟥,
90+1', 1 - 1, Marenshtein M. (Own goal),
90+6', 1 - 2, Julio Cesar ⚽,

Preview

An intriguing matchup between an upper-bracket team and a mid-table rival (ranked 4th in the Promotion ~ Leumit League (Promotion Group: ) and 9th in the Leumit League (Relegation Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hapoel Ra`anana won 1.

Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.

Hapoel Ra`anana is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 12 head-to-head meetings, Hapoel Ra`anana has recorded 4 wins, 7 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 18:11 (averaging 1.5:0.9 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Hapoel Ra`anana against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 5 draws, and 1 loss, with 8:7 goals (averaging 1.1:1 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	H. Raanana	11	6	1	4	22:14	8	19
9	MS Kafr Qasim	11	4	1	6	13:12	1	13

Last Results with these Odds

Kafr Qasim - the odds 3.11 are the expected chance of winning is 29.82%, but this team recently wins 8% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hapoel Ra`anana
Israeli Liga Leumit
28.09.26	Maccabi Bnei Raina - Hapoel Ra`anana	1:2 ✺
17.09.26	Hapoel Ra`anana - Maccabi Kiryat Gat	0:1 ✺
10.09.26	Maccabi Jaffa - Hapoel Ra`anana	1:3 ✺
06.09.26	Hapoel Ra`anana - Hapoel Kfar Saba	6:1 ✺
31.08.26	Hapoel Afula - Hapoel Ra`anana	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 WLWWL
- MS Kafr Qasim
Israeli Liga Leumit
28.09.26	Maccabi Kiryat Gat - Kafr Qasim	0:1 ✺
17.09.26	Kafr Qasim - Hapoel Kfar Saba	4:2 ✺
14.09.26	Maccabi Herzliya - Kafr Qasim	1:0 ✺
07.09.26	Kafr Qasim - Ironi Modiin	0:0 ✺
30.08.26	Hapoel Rishon LeZion - Kafr Qasim	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Israeli Liga Leumit
19.05.26	Hapoel Ra`anana - Kafr Qasim	2:2
09.02.26	Hapoel Ra`anana - Kafr Qasim	1:1
05.10.25	Kafr Qasim - Hapoel Ra`anana	0:2
21.04.25	Hapoel Ra`anana - Kafr Qasim	1:1
24.01.25	Kafr Qasim - Hapoel Ra`anana	1:1
Israeli State Cup
29.11.24	Kafr Qasim - Hapoel Ra`anana	1:3
Israeli Liga Leumit
19.09.24	Hapoel Ra`anana - Kafr Qasim	1:2

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