Match Info

Leumit League - Promotion Group - Round 37

Date: 25 May 2026, Monday


	Hapoel Rishon LeZion		Hapoel Kfar Shalem

	1	X	2
	2.42	3.45	2.42
	2.52	3.65	2.29
	2.68	3.51	2.43	Watch
	2.54	3.35	2.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.54 ↑ (2.28)	3.49 ↓ (3.7)	2.38 ↓ (2.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Hapoel Rishon LeZion
35.8%

Draw
26%

Hapoel Kfar Shalem
38.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.7%

25.1%

34.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.3%

24.2%

32.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hapoel Rishon LeZion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

Hapoel Kfar Shalem has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hapoel Rishon LeZion than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hapoel Rishon LeZion, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hapoel Kfar Shalem than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hapoel Kfar Shalem, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	33.3%	16.7%

Hapoel Rishon LeZion - Hapoel Kfar Shalem Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Rishon LeZion will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Hapoel Kfar Shalem will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Rishon LeZion (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
34', 0 - 1, Roizman O. ⚽,
37', 0 - 2, Shauer L. (Own goal),
41', 1 - 2, Hazut O. (Own goal),
2nd Half (1 - 4)
50', 1 - 3, Sivilia G. ⚽,
58', 2 - 3, Jankauskas E. (Penalty Awarded),
68', 2 - 4, Adri S. (Own goal),
85', 2 - 5, Blay Y. ⚽,
90', 2 - 6, Hasson N. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rishon LeZion won 2.

Rishon LeZion is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Hapoel Kfar Shalem's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Hapoel Kfar Shalem may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Rishon LeZion won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 18:15. (average 1.8:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Rishon LeZion won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:8. (average 1.3:2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	H. Ironi Rishon	8	5	2	1	15:9	6	17
7	Hapoel Kfar Shalem	8	4	2	2	17:17	0	14

Last Results with these Odds

Hapoel Rishon LeZion - the odds 2.28 are the expected chance of winning is 40.74%, but this team recently wins 69% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hapoel Rishon LeZion
Israeli Liga Leumit
20.05.26	Hapoel Ramat Gan - Hapoel Rishon LeZion	2:1 ✺
15.05.26	Hapoel Rishon LeZion - Maccabi Herzliya	1:2 ✺
11.05.26	Maccabi Petah Tikva - Hapoel Rishon LeZion	2:0 ✺
05.05.26	Hapoel Rishon LeZion - Hapoel Kiryat Yam	1:2 ✺
01.05.26	Bnei Yehuda - Hapoel Rishon LeZion	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLLLT
- Hapoel Kfar Shalem
Israeli Liga Leumit
20.05.26	Hapoel Kfar Shalem - Hapoel Kiryat Yam	2:1 ✺
15.05.26	Hapoel Ramat Gan - Hapoel Kfar Shalem	2:1 ✺
08.05.26	Hapoel Kfar Shalem - Bnei Yehuda	0:1 ✺
05.05.26	Maccabi Herzliya - Hapoel Kfar Shalem	4:2 ✺
30.04.26	Hapoel Kfar Shalem - Hapoel Kfar Saba	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Israeli Liga Leumit
13.02.26	Hapoel Kfar Shalem - Hapoel Rishon LeZion	2:3
12.10.25	Hapoel Rishon LeZion - Hapoel Kfar Shalem	0:1
Club Friendly
18.07.25	Hapoel Kfar Shalem - Hapoel Rishon LeZion	0:2
Israeli Liga Leumit
16.05.25	Hapoel Rishon LeZion - Hapoel Kfar Shalem	1:1
24.03.25	Hapoel Kfar Shalem - Hapoel Rishon LeZion	2:1
09.12.24	Hapoel Rishon LeZion - Hapoel Kfar Shalem	1:4
Club Friendly
18.07.24	Hapoel Kfar Shalem - Hapoel Rishon LeZion	1:3

Upcoming Matches