Match Info

Ligat ha'Al - Round 15

Date: 20 December 2025, Saturday

Location: Bloomfield Stadium (Tel-Aviv)

Referee: Grinfeld O. (Isr)

Where to Watch on TV:


Israel	Sport 4


	Hapoel Tel Aviv		Maccabi Bnei Raina

	1	X	2
	1.4	4.5	6.5	Watch
	1.42	4.45	6.3
	1.4	4.83	7.29
	1.41	4.75	6.87	Watch
	1.43	4.5	6.58	Watch
	1.4	4.33	7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↓ (1.5)	4.56 ↑ (4.27)	6.76 ↑ (5.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hapoel Tel Aviv
65.9%

Draw
20.4%

Maccabi Bnei Raina
13.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.1%

21.8%

16%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.8%

21.2%

15.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hapoel Tel Aviv has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Maccabi Bnei Raina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hapoel Tel Aviv than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maccabi Bnei Raina than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.9%	11.1%	0%

Hapoel Tel Aviv - Maccabi Bnei Raina Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Hapoel Tel Aviv (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Hapoel Tel Aviv (1.67) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Hapoel Tel Aviv will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Hapoel Tel Aviv (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Tzur A. (G) 21. Piven S. 5. Mayembo F. (C) 4. Chico 3. Morgan Z. 98. Falcao 6. Kraev A. 27. Buskila M. 51. Altman O. 75. Loizou L. 44. Dappa D.	31. Gliklich L. (C) 66. Stevanovic M. 77. Goren I. 40. Pius J. 25. Khalaili I. 12. Banda E. 29. Hutba I. 8. Elmkies I. 14. Jaber A. 9. Ze Turbo 11. Owusu
Substitutes
18. Archel T. 39. Chiproot O. 17. Cohen A. 14. Kancepolsky E. Y. 7. Korine R. 23. Lemkin A. 19. Mahamid A. 55. Pinhas S. (G) 26. Rotman L.	1. Amos G. (G) 3. Brami M. 10. Fadida S. 5. Habashi A. 33. Ibrahim A. 44. Jabarin M. 17. Kanani A. 23. Mater A. 91. Shedo N.
Coaches
Barda E.	Hadia A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
2', 1 - 0, Loizou L. ⚽, Altman O. (A),
5', 1 - 1, Owusu ⚽,
22', 2 - 1, Altman O. ⚽, Chico (A),
26', Dappa D. 🟨,
39', Loizou L. 🟨,
40', Banda E. 🟨,
40', Falcao 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
60', Banda E. ↓, Fadida S. ↑,
61', Buskila M. ↓, Korine R. ↑,
75', 3 - 1, Altman O. ⚽,
76', Altman O. ↓, Lemkin A. ↑,
76', Kraev A. ↓, Kancepolsky E. Y. ↑,
77', Stevanovic M. 🟨,
78', Khalaili I. ↓, Kanani A. ↑,
79', Ze Turbo ↓, Shedo N. ↑,
81', Fadida S. 🟨,
85', Piven S. ↓, Archel T. ↑,
85', Loizou L. ↓, Mahamid A. ↑,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligat ha'Al (Championship Group: ) and 14 in the zone Ligat ha'Al (Relegation Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hapoel Tel Aviv won 1.

Recent performances by Hapoel Tel Aviv have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Maccabi Bnei Raina is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Hapoel Tel Aviv is the undeniable favorite.

There will not play in Hapoel Tel Aviv: Alkoukin R. (Red Card) Binyamin R. (Inactive) Leidner D. (Inactive) Nassar Y. (Yellow Cards) Silva X. (Inactive)

There will not play in Maccabi Bnei Raina: Ghnayem E. (Yellow Cards) Pejic A. (Red Card) Sefer A. (Injury)

There are questionable in Hapoel Tel Aviv: Falcao (Injury) Lemkin A. (Inactive)

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Hapoel Tel Aviv won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:6. (average 1.3:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Hapoel Tel Aviv won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hapoel Tel Aviv
Israeli Ligat haAl
13.12.25	Ironi Kiryat Shmona - Hapoel Tel Aviv	2:2 ✺
06.12.25	Hapoel Tel Aviv - Hapoel Petah Tikva	4:0 ✺
02.12.25	Maccabi Haifa - Hapoel Tel Aviv	2:1 ✺
29.11.25	Hapoel Tel Aviv - Hapoel Bnei Sakhnin	2:0 ✺
08.11.25	Hapoel Jerusalem - Hapoel Tel Aviv	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 TWLWT
- Maccabi Bnei Raina
Israeli Ligat haAl
14.12.25	Maccabi Bnei Raina - Maccabi Haifa	0:4 ✺
08.12.25	Maccabi Bnei Raina - Hapoel Bnei Sakhnin	0:1 ✺
02.12.25	Hapoel Jerusalem - Maccabi Bnei Raina	1:2 ✺
29.11.25	Maccabi Bnei Raina - Ironi Tiberias	1:3 ✺
08.11.25	Maccabi Netanya - Maccabi Bnei Raina	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Israeli Ligat haAl
30.08.25	Maccabi Bnei Raina - Hapoel Tel Aviv	2:2
17.02.24	Hapoel Tel Aviv - Maccabi Bnei Raina	0:0
16.12.23	Maccabi Bnei Raina - Hapoel Tel Aviv	1:2
22.04.23	Hapoel Tel Aviv - Maccabi Bnei Raina	1:2
05.02.23	Maccabi Bnei Raina - Hapoel Tel Aviv	1:1
15.10.22	Hapoel Tel Aviv - Maccabi Bnei Raina	2:0

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