Match Info

Leumit League - Promotion Group - Round 36

Date: 12 May 2025, Monday

Location: Bloomfield Stadium (Tel-Aviv)

Where to Watch on TV:


Israel	5 PLUS Israel


	Hapoel Tel Aviv		Maccabi Herzliya

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.26	5	8.75
	1.55	4	4.8
	1.54	4.15	4.9
	1.58	4.28	4.99	Watch
	1.55	4.49	4.92	Watch
	1.55	4	4.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↑ (1.34)	4.32 ↓ (5)	5.53 ↓ (6.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Hapoel Tel Aviv
61.7%

Draw
21.5%

Maccabi Herzliya
16.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.4%

18.1%

14.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.8%

18.5%

14.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hapoel Tel Aviv has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hapoel Tel Aviv's form might have worsened.

Maccabi Herzliya has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hapoel Tel Aviv than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hapoel Tel Aviv, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maccabi Herzliya than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
55.6%	11.1%	33.3%

Hapoel Tel Aviv - Maccabi Herzliya Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Hapoel Tel Aviv will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Maccabi Herzliya will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hapoel Tel Aviv: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Hapoel Tel Aviv (votes: 2 - 40%). Maccabi Herzliya (votes: 3 - 60%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DC - Maccabi Herzliya (2.27) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Hapoel Tel Aviv (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Maccabi Herzliya (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
31', 1 - 0, Vaturi R. (Own goal),
34', 2 - 0, Shviro I. ⚽,
42', 3 - 0, Herman R. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
55', 4 - 0, Binyamin R. ⚽,

Preview

Hapoel Tel Aviv is Qualified for Ligat ha'Al

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Hapoel Tel Aviv may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Maccabi Herzliya has had a series of away games.

In this match, Hapoel Tel Aviv is the obvious favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Hapoel Tel Aviv won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:0. (average 2.3:0).

Including home matches between the teams, Hapoel Tel Aviv won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:0. (average 2.5:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hapoel Tel Aviv
Israeli Liga Leumit
05.05.25	Hapoel Rishon LeZion - Hapoel Tel Aviv	1:2 ✺
28.04.25	Hapoel Tel Aviv - Hapoel Ramat Gan	1:0 ✺
Israeli State Cup
22.04.25	Hapoel Tel Aviv - Hapoel Beer Sheva	1:5 ✺
Israeli Liga Leumit
17.04.25	Hapoel Kfar Shalem - Hapoel Tel Aviv	2:0 ✺
11.04.25	Hapoel Tel Aviv - Hapoel Petah Tikva	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 WWLLT
- Maccabi Herzliya
Israeli Liga Leumit
05.05.25	Maccabi Herzliya - Hapoel Kfar Saba	2:0 ✺
25.04.25	Bnei Yehuda - Maccabi Herzliya	3:2 ✺
21.04.25	Hapoel Rishon LeZion - Maccabi Herzliya	1:3 ✺
11.04.25	Hapoel Ramat Gan - Maccabi Herzliya	2:0 ✺
07.04.25	Hapoel Kfar Shalem - Maccabi Herzliya	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.5 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Israeli Liga Leumit
03.03.25	Maccabi Herzliya - Hapoel Tel Aviv	0:3
29.10.24	Hapoel Tel Aviv - Maccabi Herzliya	3:0
19.01.18	Maccabi Herzliya - Hapoel Tel Aviv	0:1
08.09.17	Hapoel Tel Aviv - Maccabi Herzliya	2:0

Upcoming Matches