Match Info

ISRAEL: LIGAT HA'AL - RELEGATION GROUP - ROUND 28

Date: 1 April 2023, Saturday

Location: Bloomfield Stadium (Tel-Aviv)

Referee: Layba I. (Isr)


	Hapoel Tel Aviv		Sektzia Nes Tziona

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.5	4.5	Watch
	1.71	3.5	4.33
	1.7	3.65	4.3
	1.78	3.72	4.63
	1.73	3.68	4.45
	1.73	3.7	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↓ (1.82)	3.63 ↑ (3.45)	4.42 ↑ (4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hapoel Tel Aviv
53.6%

Draw
25.5%

Sektzia Nes Tziona
20.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.4%

26.6%

23%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.3%

21.8%

28.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hapoel Tel Aviv has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Sektzia Nes Tziona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hapoel Tel Aviv than the current prediction. (-12.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hapoel Tel Aviv that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sektzia Nes Tziona than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sektzia Nes Tziona could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	33.3%	16.7%

Hapoel Tel Aviv - Sektzia Nes Tziona Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Hapoel Tel Aviv will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Sektzia Nes Tziona will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Hapoel Tel Aviv won 2.

Two teams are in a poor body shape now.

In this match Hapoel Tel Aviv is a favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Hapoel Tel Aviv won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 11-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Hapoel Tel Aviv won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hapoel Tel Aviv
Israeli Ligat haAl
18.03.23	Beitar Jerusalem - Hapoel Tel Aviv	2:1 ✺
13.03.23	Hapoel Tel Aviv - Maccabi Haifa	0:1 ✺
05.03.23	Beitar Jerusalem - Hapoel Tel Aviv	1:3 ✺
25.02.23	Hapoel Tel Aviv - MS Ashdod	1:2 ✺
18.02.23	Ironi Kiryat Shmona - Hapoel Tel Aviv	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LLWLT
- Sektzia Nes Tziona
Israeli Ligat haAl
18.03.23	Hapoel Hadera - Sektzia Nes Tziona	1:2 ✺
11.03.23	Sektzia Nes Tziona - Hapoel Hadera	1:3 ✺
04.03.23	Maccabi Bnei Raina - Sektzia Nes Tziona	3:2 ✺
25.02.23	Sektzia Nes Tziona - Maccabi Tel Aviv	0:2 ✺
18.02.23	Hapoel Jerusalem - Sektzia Nes Tziona	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Israeli Ligat haAl
14.01.23	Hapoel Tel Aviv - Sektzia Nes Tziona	1:1
17.09.22	Sektzia Nes Tziona - Hapoel Tel Aviv	4:3
Israeli Toto Cup
16.08.22	Sektzia Nes Tziona - Hapoel Tel Aviv	1:3
Club Friendly
22.05.20	Sektzia Nes Tziona - Hapoel Tel Aviv	1:1
Israeli Ligat haAl
29.12.19	Sektzia Nes Tziona - Hapoel Tel Aviv	0:1
14.09.19	Hapoel Tel Aviv - Sektzia Nes Tziona	1:1
Israeli Toto Cup
12.08.19	Sektzia Nes Tziona - Hapoel Tel Aviv	2:1

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