Match Info

ISRAEL: LIGAT HA'AL - ROUND 23

Date: 18 February 2023, Saturday

Location: Teddy Stadium (Jerusalem)

Referee: Asulin O. (Isr)


	Hapoel Jerusalem		Sektzia Nes Tziona

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.6	3.6	Watch
	1.82	3.3	4.1
	1.84	3.56	4.47
	1.83	3.48	4.15
	1.88	3.5	3.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↑ (1.6)	3.49 ↓ (3.86)	4.03 ↓ (4.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hapoel Jerusalem
50.4%

Draw
26.6%

Sektzia Nes Tziona
23%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.7%

23.9%

18.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.6%

23.9%

18.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hapoel Jerusalem has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hapoel Jerusalem's form might have worsened.

Sektzia Nes Tziona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hapoel Jerusalem than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hapoel Jerusalem, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sektzia Nes Tziona than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

Hapoel Jerusalem - Sektzia Nes Tziona Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligat ha'Al (Championship Group) and 14 in the zone Ligat ha'Al (Relegation Group)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Hapoel Jerusalem won 5.

One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.

In this match Hapoel Jerusalem is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Hapoel Jerusalem won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 12-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Hapoel Jerusalem won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hapoel Jerusalem
Israeli Ligat haAl
11.02.23	Hapoel Beer Sheva - Hapoel Jerusalem	0:0 ✺
04.02.23	Hapoel Jerusalem - Maccabi Netanya	0:2 ✺
30.01.23	Hapoel Bnei Sakhnin - Hapoel Jerusalem	2:1 ✺
21.01.23	Hapoel Jerusalem - Hapoel Tel Aviv	0:0 ✺
15.01.23	Maccabi Haifa - Hapoel Jerusalem	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 TLLTL
- Sektzia Nes Tziona
Israeli Ligat haAl
11.02.23	Sektzia Nes Tziona - Hapoel Haifa	0:2 ✺
04.02.23	Sektzia Nes Tziona - Hapoel Beer Sheva	0:1 ✺
28.01.23	Maccabi Netanya - Sektzia Nes Tziona	3:0 ✺
21.01.23	Sektzia Nes Tziona - Hapoel Bnei Sakhnin	0:0 ✺
14.01.23	Hapoel Tel Aviv - Sektzia Nes Tziona	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LLLTT

Latest Head to Head

Israeli Ligat haAl
29.10.22	Sektzia Nes Tziona - Hapoel Jerusalem	0:2
Israeli Toto Cup
13.08.22	Hapoel Jerusalem - Sektzia Nes Tziona	2:0
Israeli Liga Leumit
30.04.21	Hapoel Jerusalem - Sektzia Nes Tziona	2:0
02.04.21	Sektzia Nes Tziona - Hapoel Jerusalem	0:2
23.02.21	Hapoel Jerusalem - Sektzia Nes Tziona	4:1

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