Match Info

Liga Alef North - Round 7

Date: 1 November 2025, Saturday


	Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel		Hapoel Bnei Musmus

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.2	3.4
	1.97	3.32	3.41
	1.94	3.35	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↓ (2.32)	3.29 ↓ (3.3)	3.44 ↑ (2.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 10%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel
46.3%

Draw
27.5%

Hapoel Bnei Musmus
26.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.6%

27.2%

34.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.2%

26.8%

33.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel's performance.

Hapoel Bnei Musmus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hapoel Bnei Musmus might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hapoel Bnei Musmus than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hapoel Bnei Musmus could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel - Hapoel Bnei Musmus Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. H Tirat HaCarmel will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. H Tirat HaCarmel (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
74', 0 - 1, Moa ⚽,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 10 and 11).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Hapoel Bnei Musmus may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel
Israeli Liga Alef North
24.10.25	Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel - Tzeirey Um El Fahem	3:0 ✺
17.10.25	Hapoel Beit Shean - Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel	0:3 ✺
10.10.25	Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel - Hapoel Karmiel	0:3 ✺
Israeli State Cup
30.09.25	Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel - Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad	0:1 ✺
Israeli Liga Alef North
26.09.25	Tzeirey Tamra - Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.1 WWLLW
- Hapoel Bnei Musmus
Israeli Liga Alef North
21.10.25	Hapoel Bnei Musmus - Hapoel Karmiel	1:0 ✺
18.10.25	Hapoel Bnei Musmus - Hapoel Umm al-Fahm	1:1 ✺
09.10.25	Hapoel Bnei Musmus - Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik	0:2 ✺
27.09.25	Hapoel Beit Shean - Hapoel Bnei Musmus	1:1 ✺
13.09.25	Tzeirey Tamra - Hapoel Bnei Musmus	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WTLTL

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