Match Info

Liga Alef North - Round 9

Date: 29 October 2026, Thursday 🏁 Finished


	Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel		Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik

	1	X	2
	5.25	4.10	1.47
	5.5	3.95	1.45
	5.6	3.98	1.45
	5.8	4.09	1.48
	5.45	3.9	1.42
	6.32	4.05	1.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.65 ↑ (5.62)	4.01 ↑ (3.98)	1.45 ↓ (1.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel
15.8%

Draw
22.3%

Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik
61.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

16.1%

22.8%

61%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.3%

21.4%

57.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel - Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90+4', 1 - 0, Apelbaum R. ⚽,

Preview

Crucial home points are at stake for a lower-table team looking to climb out of danger (ranked 17th in the Relegation and 8th).

H Tirat HaCarmel has struggled for results with multiple recent losses (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

M Kiryat Ata Bialik has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).

H Tirat HaCarmel could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Recently, H Tirat HaCarmel has faced a series of away games on the road.

In this matchup, M Kiryat Ata Bialik is considered the favorite to take the win.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, H Tirat HaCarmel has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 1:3.

Specifically in home fixtures for H Tirat HaCarmel against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 1:3 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	M. Kiryat Ata-Bialik	9	3	1	5	16:17	-1	10
15	Hapoel Tirat Karmel	8	2	0	6	6:16	-10	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel
Israeli Liga Alef North
22.10.26	MS Tira - Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel	2:0 ✺
12.10.26	Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel - Hapoel Beit Shean	0:4 ✺
08.10.26	Hapoel Karmiel - Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel	1:0 ✺
01.10.26	Tzeirey Um El Fahem - Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel	0:0 ✺
23.09.26	Hapoel Ironi Baqa al-Gharbiyye - Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLLTL
- Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik
Israeli Liga Alef North
23.10.26	Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik - Hapoel Umm al-Fahm	1:3 ✺
16.10.26	Ironi Nesher - Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik	4:0 ✺
09.10.26	Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik - Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad	1:2 ✺
30.09.26	Hapoel Bnei Musmus - Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik	1:0 ✺
24.09.26	Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik - Hapoel Ihud Bnei Jatt	5:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Israeli Liga Alef North
27.11.25	Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel - Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik	1:3

Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel - Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik