Match Info

State Cup - 1/32-finals

Date: 28 October 2025, Tuesday


	Hapoel Umm al-Fahm		Hapoel Kiryat Yam

	1	X	2
	20.26	9.56	1.08	Watch
	9.6	6.6	1.19
Avarage Now (Initially)	14.93 ↑ (9.6)	8.08 ↑ (6.6)	1.14 ↓ (1.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
6.2%

Draw
11.5%

Hapoel Kiryat Yam
82.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

9.5%

13.8%

76.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hapoel Umm al-Fahm has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Hapoel Kiryat Yam has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Hapoel Kiryat Yam's recent form is better than expected.

Hapoel Umm al Fahm - Hapoel Kiryat Yam Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Hapoel Umm al-Fahm (2.93) (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

EH +2 - Hapoel Umm al-Fahm (1.86) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH +1.5 - Hapoel Umm al-Fahm (1.81) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DNB - Hapoel Umm al-Fahm (6.00) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Hapoel Umm al-Fahm (votes: 9 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
26', 1 - 0, Nour J. (Pen),
45+3', 1 - 1, Livnat N. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
64', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Hapoel Umm al-Fahm has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Hapoel Kiryat Yam's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Hapoel Kiryat Yam is the undeniable favorite.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
Israeli Liga Alef North
21.10.25	Hapoel Umm al-Fahm - Tzeirey Tamra	1:1 ✺
18.10.25	Hapoel Bnei Musmus - Hapoel Umm al-Fahm	1:1 ✺
26.09.25	Hapoel Karmiel - Hapoel Umm al-Fahm	1:0 ✺
11.09.25	Ironi Nesher - Hapoel Umm al-Fahm	2:1 ✺
08.09.25	Hapoel Umm al-Fahm - Maccabi Ahi Nazareth	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 TTLLL
- Hapoel Kiryat Yam
Israeli Liga Leumit
24.10.25	Hapoel Kiryat Yam - Hapoel Hadera	2:3 ✺
20.10.25	Kafr Qasim - Hapoel Kiryat Yam	1:0 ✺
12.10.25	Hapoel Kiryat Yam - Hapoel Ramat Gan	0:2 ✺
05.10.25	Hapoel Kfar Saba - Hapoel Kiryat Yam	0:2 ✺
28.09.25	Hapoel Kiryat Yam - Hapoel Kfar Shalem	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LLLWW

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