Match Info

Premier League - Relegation Group - Round 3

Date: 8 April 2026, Wednesday

Location: Harras El Hodood Stadium (Alexandria)

Where to Watch on TV:


Egypt	Kora Plus


	Haras El-Hodood		Modern Sport

	1	X	2
				Watch
	4.25	2.72	2.02	Watch
	4.55	2.92	2.11
	4.46	2.85	2.02	Watch
	4.2	2.75	2.05
	4.42	2.9	2.01	Watch
	4.5	3.1	1.81
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.4 ↓ (4.9)	2.87 ↓ (2.89)	2 ↑ (1.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Haras El-Hodood
21.2%

Draw
32.4%

Modern Sport
46.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19%

32.1%

48.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19%

32%

49%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Haras El-Hodood has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Modern Sport has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Haras El-Hodood than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Modern Sport than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
18.2%	63.6%	18.2%

Haras El Hodood - Modern Sport Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Haras El-Hodood will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). Modern Sport will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 63.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 35.2% – 92%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Modern Sport (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Shaaban A. (G) 24. Awad M. 5. Abdelhakim I. 4. Abou-Salima I. 2. Abdelghani M. 10. El Henawy F. 14. Ashraf M. (C) 27. Cooper I. 74. Mahmoud Sayed Okaa 30. Hafez A. 29. El Negely M.	99. Makhlouf M. (G) 77. Fawzi A. 6. Elfil A. 4. Rizk M. (C) 90. Metwali H. 20. Hamdi E. 27. Mohamed G. 70. Soliman S. 14. Mostafa A. 33. El Metwaly R. 35. Mamdouh M.
Substitutes
25. Ashraf I. 3. El Badry M. 20. Eze E. 9. Gamal A. 45. Kouadja K. 6. Magli M. 90. Nayel A. 16. Seha A. (G) 72. Tarek Z.	97. Bashiri M. 38. Eba A. 25. Helal M. 30. Mazhoud A. 24. Reda K. 21. Shaaban M. 13. Yehia A. (G) 12. Youssef A. 22. Zaazaa A.
Coaches
Shaaban H.	Samy A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
45', El Negely M. 🟨,
45+1', Soliman S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Mostafa A. ↓, Helal M. ↑,
58', Mamdouh M. ↓, Eba A. ↑,
59', Metwali H. ↓, Zaazaa A. ↑,
73', Mohamed G. 🟨,
78', Soliman S. ↓, Bashiri M. ↑,
79', El Negely M. ↓, Gamal A. ↑,
80', El Henawy F. ↓, El Badry M. ↑,
84', Hafez A. ↓, Magli M. ↑,

Preview

Both teams are struggling and far from their best.

Modern Sport may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Modern Sport is a strong favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Haras El-Hodood won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 1:5. (average 0.2:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Haras El-Hodood won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:3. (average 0.3:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Modern Sport	5	3	1	1	7:4	3	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Haras El-Hodood
Egyptian Premier League
05.04.26	National Bank of Egypt - Haras El-Hodood	4:2 ✺
20.03.26	Haras El-Hodood - Ismaily	0:0 ✺
05.03.26	Haras El-Hodood - Pyramids	1:3 ✺
28.02.26	Tala`ea El-Gaish - Haras El-Hodood	1:0 ✺
24.02.26	Haras El-Hodood - ENPPI	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 LTLLW
- Modern Sport FC
Egyptian Premier League
04.04.26	Modern Sport - Wadi Degla	0:0 ✺
22.03.26	Kahrabaa Ismailia - Modern Sport	1:1 ✺
11.03.26	ZED - Modern Sport	2:0 ✺
07.03.26	Smouha - Modern Sport	3:0 ✺
01.03.26	Modern Sport - Petrojet	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 TTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Egyptian Premier League
31.08.25	Modern Sport - Haras El-Hodood	1:0
27.01.25	Haras El-Hodood - Modern Sport	1:0
Egyptian League Cup
30.04.23	Haras El-Hodood - Modern Sport	0:1
Egyptian Premier League
16.02.23	Modern Sport - Haras El-Hodood	1:0
20.10.22	Haras El-Hodood - Modern Sport	0:2

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