Match Info

Premier League - Round 21

Date: 7 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Borg El Arab Stadium (Alexandria)

Where to Watch on TV:


Egypt	Kora Plus


	Smouha		Modern Sport

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.45	2.55	3
	2.58	2.62	3.1	Watch
	2.77	2.59	3.5
	2.67	2.55	3.3	Watch
	2.6	2.5	3.2
	2.58	2.43	3.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.61 ↑ (2.51)	2.54 ↓ (2.67)	3.24 ↓ (3.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Smouha
35.3%

Draw
36.3%

Modern Sport
28.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37%

34.7%

28.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.4%

35.1%

28%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Smouha has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Modern Sport has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Smouha than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Modern Sport than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	80%	0%

Smouha - Modern Sport Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Smouha will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 80%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
28. Mayhoub A. (G) 24. Ragab M. 23. Amadi S. 4. Gomaa M. 11. Reda S. (C) 7. El Sisi A. 33. Yehia A. 15. Samadou A. 10. El Ghandour K. 20. Badji P. 21. Mostafa M.	1. Gabaski (G) 77. Fawzi A. 4. Rizk M. (C) 6. Elfil A. 3. Desouki M. 12. Youssef A. 27. Mohamed G. 8. Sabry M. 38. Eba A. 35. Mamdouh M. 18. Hassan H.
Substitutes
12. Afifi Y. 6. Amer A. 9. Ashraf H. 35. Fawzi A. 30. Hassan A. 22. Khaled A. 66. Mohamed K. 45. Nweke E. 1. Soliman E. (G)	33. El Metwaly R. 16. Emad K. (G) 20. Hamdi E. 25. Helal M. 19. Mosaad M. 9. Okenabirhie F. 24. Reda K. 21. Shaaban M. 17. Shika A.
Coaches
Abdelaziz A.	Samy A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
8', Sabry M. 🟥,
22', 1 - 0, Badji P. ⚽,
36', 2 - 0, Amadi S. ⚽, El Sisi A. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Youssef A. ↓, Shika A. ↑,
46', Hassan H. ↓, Hamdi E. ↑,
53', 3 - 0, Badji P. ⚽, El Ghandour K. (A),
57', Eba A. ↓, Mosaad M. ↑,
60', Yehia A. ↓, Fawzi A. ↑,
68', Shika A. 🟨,
78', Mamdouh M. ↓, Okenabirhie F. ↑,
78', Badji P. ↓, Ashraf H. ↑,
79', Samadou A. ↓, Mohamed K. ↑,
79', Amadi S. ↓, Khaled A. ↑,
90+1', Gomaa M. ↓, Hassan A. ↑,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (Championship Group: ) and 13 in the zone Premier League (Relegation Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Smouha won 1.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Smouha won 1 match, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:15. (average 0.5:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Smouha won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 0.8:0.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Modern Sport	5	3	1	1	7:4	3	10
16	Smouha	5	1	1	3	1:4	-3	4

Last Results with these Odds

Smouha - the odds 2.51 are the expected chance of winning is 36.96%, but this team recently wins 30% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Smouha SC
Egyptian Premier League
01.03.26	National Bank of Egypt - Smouha	1:3 ✺
23.02.26	Smouha - Al Ahly Cairo	0:1 ✺
16.02.26	Al-Ittihad Alexandria - Smouha	1:0 ✺
11.02.26	Zamalek - Smouha	1:0 ✺
04.02.26	Smouha - Pyramids	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WLLLW
- Modern Sport FC
Egyptian Premier League
01.03.26	Modern Sport - Petrojet	1:1 ✺
25.02.26	Al Masry - Modern Sport	1:0 ✺
16.02.26	Modern Sport - Kahrabaa Ismailia	1:1 ✺
06.02.26	El Gouna - Modern Sport	1:1 ✺
29.01.26	Modern Sport - Ismaily	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 TLTTW

Latest Head to Head

Egyptian League Cup
22.03.25	Modern Sport - Smouha	2:0
Egyptian Premier League
11.03.25	Modern Sport - Smouha	2:0
12.01.25	Smouha - Modern Sport	1:0
22.07.24	Modern Sport - Smouha	3:0
29.02.24	Smouha - Modern Sport	1:1
Egyptian League Cup
16.01.24	Smouha - Modern Sport	0:0
Egyptian Premier League
16.05.23	Smouha - Modern Sport	1:1

Upcoming Matches