Match Info

Nadeshiko League Women - Round 10

Date: 16 May 2026, Saturday


	Harima Albion		Orca Kamogawa

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.05	2.15
	3.13	3.2	2.19
	3.19	3.07	2.2	Watch
	3.1	2.88	2.2
	3.17	3.1	2.17	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.14 ↑ (2.81)	3.06 ↑ (2.83)	2.18 ↓ (2.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Harima Albion
28.9%

Draw
29.6%

Orca Kamogawa
41.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.6%

32.3%

35.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.5%

32.2%

35.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Harima Albion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Orca Kamogawa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Orca Kamogawa's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Harima Albion than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orca Kamogawa than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Orca Kamogawa, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Harima Albion - Orca Kamogawa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
20', 0 - 1, Kurata A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 11 and 4).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Harima Albion won 0.

Harima Albion is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Orca Kamogawa's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Orca Kamogawa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Harima Albion won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 3:9. (average 0.3:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Harima Albion won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 0.4:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Orca Kamogawa W	19	9	6	4	27:15	12	33
10	Harima Albion W	20	5	5	10	20:30	-10	20

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Harima Albion
Japan Nadeshiko League Women
02.05.26	Ehime - Harima Albion	1:1 ✺
26.04.26	NGU Loveledge Nagoya - Harima Albion	2:1 ✺
18.04.26	Harima Albion - Okayama Yunogo Belle	3:4 ✺
12.04.26	Harima Albion - Viamaterras Miyazaki	1:1 ✺
28.03.26	Nippon Sport Science University - Harima Albion	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 TLLTL
- Orca Kamogawa
Japan Nadeshiko League Women
09.05.26	Orca Kamogawa - Setagaya Sfida	1:0 ✺
02.05.26	NGU Loveledge Nagoya - Orca Kamogawa	1:1 ✺
25.04.26	Orca Kamogawa - VONDS Ichihara	4:0 ✺
19.04.26	Shizuoka Bonita - Orca Kamogawa	1:0 ✺
11.04.26	Orca Kamogawa - Okayama Yunogo Belle	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WTWLT

Latest Head to Head

Japan Nadeshiko League Women
07.09.25	Orca Kamogawa - Harima Albion	2:0
04.05.25	Harima Albion - Orca Kamogawa	0:0
09.06.24	Orca Kamogawa - Harima Albion	0:0
30.03.24	Harima Albion - Orca Kamogawa	0:2
25.06.23	Orca Kamogawa - Harima Albion	1:0
16.04.23	Harima Albion - Orca Kamogawa	0:2
11.09.22	Orca Kamogawa - Harima Albion	0:1

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