Match Info

ENGLAND: SOUTHERN LEAGUE SOUTH DIVISION - ROUND 14

Date: 24 October 2023, Tuesday


	Harrow Borough		Bracknell Town

	1	X	2
	3.25	3.75	1.9	Watch
	3.19	4.2	1.9
	3.19	4.2	1.91
	3.2	3.84	1.89
	3.25	3.75	1.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.22 ↑ (2.5)	3.95 ↑ (3.75)	1.9 ↓ (2.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Harrow Borough
28.5%

Draw
23.2%

Bracknell Town
48.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36%

24%

40%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.1%

23.4%

41%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Harrow Borough has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Harrow Borough's form might have worsened.

Bracknell Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bracknell Town's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Harrow Borough than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Harrow Borough, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bracknell Town than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bracknell Town, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Harrow Borough - Bracknell Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 and 12).

Recent matches Harrow is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Bracknell is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recently Bracknell have a series of home games.

Bracknell will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Harrow won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Harrow won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Harrow Borough
English Southern League South Division
21.10.23	Winchester City - Harrow Borough	1:2 ✺
17.10.23	Didcot Town - Harrow Borough	2:2 ✺
14.10.23	Harrow Borough - Swindon Supermarine	2:2 ✺
English FA Trophy
07.10.23	Harrow Borough - Margate	1:0 ✺
English Southern League South Division
26.09.23	Hayes & Yeading United - Harrow Borough	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 WTTWL
- Bracknell Town
English Southern League South Division
21.10.23	Bracknell Town - Totton	1:5 ✺
17.10.23	Bracknell Town - Basingstoke Town	4:0 ✺
English FA Cup
14.10.23	Bracknell Town - Dagenham & Redbridge	1:0 ✺
English FA Trophy
07.10.23	Hanwell Town - Bracknell Town	1:2 ✺
English FA Cup
30.09.23	Bracknell Town - Poole Town	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.8 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
21.03.23	Harrow Borough - Bracknell Town	0:4
15.08.22	Bracknell Town - Harrow Borough	4:1

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