Match Info

ENGLAND: Southern League Premier South - Round 8

Date: 21 September 2024, Saturday

Location: Larges Lane (Bracknell)


	Bracknell Town		Totton

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.3	2.15
	2.7	3.45	2.29
	2.62	3.76	2.27
	2.7	3.76	2.33
	2.66	3.4	2.29
	2.7	3.45	2.29
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.69 ↓ (3.31)	3.52 ↓ (3.6)	2.27 ↑ (1.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bracknell Town
33.9%

Draw
25.9%

Totton
40.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.4%

25.2%

47.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.7%

25.9%

48.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bracknell Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bracknell Town's performance.

Totton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Totton might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bracknell Town than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bracknell Town that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Totton than the current prediction. (+8.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Totton could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Bracknell Town - Totton Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 8 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South).

Bracknell is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recent matches Totton is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Bracknell could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Totton will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Bracknell won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Bracknell won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bracknell Town
English Southern League South Division
10.09.24	Marlow - Bracknell Town	2:2 ✺
07.09.24	Bracknell Town - Havant & Waterlooville	1:1 ✺
26.08.24	Basingstoke Town - Bracknell Town	1:1 ✺
24.08.24	Bracknell Town - Tiverton Town	2:0 ✺
17.08.24	Frome Town - Bracknell Town	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 TTTWW
- AFC Totton
English Southern League South Division
14.09.24	Dorchester Town - Totton	3:2 ✺
10.09.24	Totton - Wimborne Town	4:0 ✺
07.09.24	Totton - Basingstoke Town	2:2 ✺
26.08.24	Havant & Waterlooville - Totton	1:1 ✺
24.08.24	Totton - Hungerford Town	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LWTTW

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
01.05.24	Totton - Bracknell Town	2:1 ET
10.04.24	Totton - Bracknell Town	3:2
21.10.23	Bracknell Town - Totton	1:5

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