Match Info

GFA League - Round 12

Date: 13 February 2026, Friday


	Hart Academy		Medina United

	1	X	2
	2.04	2.95	3.78	Watch
	1.95	3	3.7
	2.02	2.95	3.74
	1.96	3	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↓ (2.01)	2.98 ↓ (3.02)	3.74 ↑ (3.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hart Academy
45.4%

Draw
30.4%

Medina United
24.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.4%

30.2%

24.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.7%

28.7%

23.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Hart Academy have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Medina United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hart Academy than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Medina United than the current prediction. (-1%)

Hart Academy - Medina United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
17', 1 - 0, Nfansu D. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90+3', 2 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 5 and 13).

Recent performances by Hart Academy have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Medina United's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Hart Academy may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Hart Academy could have a small edge in this match.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Standings

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Medina United	30	16	6	8	34:25	9	54
8	Hart Academy	30	9	11	10	36:34	2	38

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hart Academy
Gambian GFA League
07.02.26	TMT - Hart Academy	1:3 ✺
03.02.26	Hart Academy - Gambia Ports Authority	3:2 ✺
30.01.26	Banjul Hawks - Hart Academy	2:1 ✺
23.01.26	Hart Academy - Gambian Dutch Lions	0:0 ✺
20.01.26	Hart Academy - Bombada	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 WWLTL
- Medina United FA
Gambian GFA League
03.02.26	Medina United - Steve Biko	2:2 ✺
31.01.26	Fortune - Medina United	0:2 ✺
24.01.26	Medina United - Real Banjul	0:2 ✺
20.01.26	Falcons - Medina United	2:1 ✺
13.01.26	Medina United - BST Galaxy	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 TWLLL

Hart Academy - Medina United: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide