The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Hartford Athletic 32.9%
Draw 25.5%
Memphis 901 41.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
43%
26.1%
30.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.6%
26.4%
30.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hartford Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hartford Athletic's form might have worsened.
Memphis 901 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Memphis 901's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hartford Athletic than the current prediction. (+10.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hartford Athletic, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Memphis 901 than the current prediction. (-11%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Memphis 901, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Hartford Athletic - Memphis 901 Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
A game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 11 and 9).
Hartford has the most likely position - 12 (15.96%), project points - 38, currently - 5, a chance of playoffs (46%), a chance of qtrs (17%), a small chance of semis (7%), a very small chance of final (3%), a very small chance of win league (1%).
Memphis has the most likely position - 5 (10.68%), project points - 46, currently - 6, a good chance of playoffs (77%), a chance of qtrs (40%), a chance of semis (20%), a small chance of final (10%), a very small chance of win league (4%).
This event has small quality16, small importance21, small match rating18. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Hartford is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Memphis is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Memphis could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Recently Hartford have a series of guest games.
The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
Last 5 head-to-head matches Hartford won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 4-14.
Including matches at home between the teams Hartford won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.