Match Info

USA: USL CHAMPIONSHIP - PLAY OFFS - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 21 October 2023, Saturday


	Memphis 901		Louisville City

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.93	3.3	3.25	Watch
	1.95	3.5	3.5
	2.1	3.4	3.53
	2.1	3.34	3.53
	1.98	3.36	3.36	Watch
	1.93	3.5	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↓ (2.04)	3.4 ↓ (3.47)	3.45 ↑ (3.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Memphis 901
46.1%

Draw
27.1%

Louisville City
26.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45%

26.5%

28.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46%

25.9%

28%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Memphis 901 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Louisville City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Memphis 901 than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Louisville City than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Memphis 901 - Louisville City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
32. Sanchez R. (G) 37. McFadden A. 16. Smith G. 8. Turci L. 14. Ward A. 6. Molloy A. 23. Paul L. 18. Kelly J. 7. Lapa B. 11. Kissiedou L. 20. Pickering N.	28. Semmle O. (G) 17. Lancaster C. 4. Totsch S. 6. Charpie W. 32. Adams K. 8. Moguel Jr. C. 12. Gibson T. 15. Perez E. 10. Ownby B. 5. Pedersen R. 36. Del Piccolo P.
Substitutes
77. Borczak D. 19. Buckmaster R. 5. Careaga S. 4. Hyndman E. 27. Peters J. 1. Romig A. (G) 3. Vom Steeg C.	18. Faundez D. (G) 9. Gonzalez J. 14. Harris W. 19. Jimenez O. 22. Mares D. 11. McCabe N. 90. Pouwels M.
Coaches
Glass S.	Cruz D.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Memphis won 2.

Recent matches Memphis is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Louisville City is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Memphis could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Memphis won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 14-21.

Including matches at home between the teams Memphis won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Memphis 901
USL Championship
13.10.23	New Mexico United - Memphis 901	4:1 ✺
07.10.23	Memphis 901 - El Paso Locomotive	4:0 ✺
30.09.23	Memphis 901 - Birmingham Legion	1:2 ✺
23.09.23	Tampa Bay Rowdies - Memphis 901	2:4 ✺
20.09.23	Birmingham Legion - Memphis 901	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 LWLWT
- Louisville City FC
USL Championship
14.10.23	Louisville City - Tampa Bay Rowdies	2:3 ✺
07.10.23	Louisville City - Hartford Athletic	1:1 ✺
30.09.23	New Mexico United - Louisville City	2:0 ✺
23.09.23	Loudoun United - Louisville City	1:2 ✺
20.09.23	Miami - Louisville City	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LTLWL

Latest Head to Head

USL Championship
10.06.23	Louisville City - Memphis 901	1:3
29.04.23	Memphis 901 - Louisville City	1:1
23.09.22	Louisville City - Memphis 901	1:2
16.07.22	Memphis 901 - Louisville City	1:2
23.10.21	Louisville City - Memphis 901	3:1
13.10.21	Memphis 901 - Louisville City	2:1
25.09.21	Memphis 901 - Louisville City	1:1

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