Match Info

MOROCCO: Botola Pro - Round 21

Date: 14 February 2025, Friday

Location: Stade Adrar (Agadir)

Where to Watch on TV:


Morocco	Arryadia 3, SNRT Live


	Hassania Agadir		Moghreb Tétouan

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.3	4.75
	1.71	3.15	4.7
	1.75	3.23	5.63
	1.7	3.27	5.21	Watch
	1.7	3.35	5.11
	1.71	3.15	4.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↓ (2.18)	3.24 ↑ (2.85)	5.02 ↑ (3.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hassania Agadir
53.6%

Draw
28.2%

Moghreb Tétouan
18.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41%

31.3%

27.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.6%

25.7%

33.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hassania Agadir has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hassania Agadir's performance.

Moghreb Tétouan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Moghreb Tétouan might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hassania Agadir than the current prediction. (-20%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hassania Agadir that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Moghreb Tétouan than the current prediction. (+15.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Moghreb Tétouan could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Hassania Agadir - Moghreb Tétouan Predictions

Users Predictions: Hassania Agadir will win (10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.24% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
61. Abyir B. (G) 8. Ami Z. 7. Bakhkhach M. 25. Beye A. 10. Boukhanfer A. 23. Ech Chamakh J. 20. Katiba M. 18. Kati K. 4. Rami Y. (C) 5. Tachtach J. 27. Tarrazi A.	13. Tagnaouti A. R. (G) 97. Al Cheikhi M. 17. Amhih Y. 25. Benktib I. 9. Darai H. 5. El Fakih M. 88. Ghailan Z. 7. Kamal M. 90. Lakhal A. (C) 3. Madkour A. 96. Rahim M.
Substitutes
32. Akoumi M. 21. Bahi S. 11. Dahmoun B. 65. El Majhad H. 30. Haimoud A. 17. Kaidi A. 2. Kalai H. 24. Lalioune A. 13. Moumadi H.	21. Ben Khajjou Z. 24. Chabboud A. 14. Eddaoudi D. E. 1. El Jourbaoui M. (G) 11. El Megri B. 26. Errahouli I. 57. Ilyass T. 27. Nahiri M. 74. Oulad Abdelouahab R.
Coaches
Sektioui A.	Benchrifa M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
27', 0 - 1, Darai H. ⚽, Kamal M. (A),
40', El Fakih M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
55', Katiba M. ↓, Moumadi H. ↑,
56', Ami Z. 🟨,
58', Madkour A. 🟨,
67', Rami Y. 🟨,
70', Kamal M. ↓, El Megri B. ↑,
70', Ghailan Z. ↓, Nahiri M. ↑,
75', Boukhanfer A. ↓, Kaidi A. ↑,
75', Ami Z. ↓, Haimoud A. ↑,
77', 1 - 1, Ech Chamakh J. ⚽,
79', Haimoud A. 🟨,
83', Lakhal A. ↓, Eddaoudi D. E. ↑,
87', Amhih Y. 🟨,
88', Al Cheikhi M. 🟨,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 14 in the zone Botola Pro (Relegation) and 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Botola 2).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Hassania Agadir won 2.

Hassania Agadir is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Moghreb Tétouan has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Hassania Agadir is a favorite.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Hassania Agadir won 11 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 28:19 (average 1.4:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Hassania Agadir won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 12:9 (average 1.2:0.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hassania Agadir
Moroccan Botola
09.02.25	Wydad Casablanca - Hassania Agadir	2:0 ✺
19.01.25	Hassania Agadir - Maghreb Fez	2:2 ✺
12.01.25	Renaissance Zemamra - Hassania Agadir	2:0 ✺
04.01.25	Hassania Agadir - Jeunesse Sportive Soualem	3:1 ✺
28.12.24	IR Tanger - Hassania Agadir	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LTLWL
- Moghreb Tétouan
Moroccan Botola
07.02.25	Moghreb Tétouan - Union de Touarga	1:1 ✺
17.01.25	CODM de Meknès - Moghreb Tétouan	1:0 ✺
12.01.25	Maghreb Fez - Moghreb Tétouan	2:1 ✺
04.01.25	Moghreb Tétouan - Wydad Casablanca	1:2 ✺
29.12.24	Olympic Safi - Moghreb Tétouan	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Moroccan Botola
19.10.24	Moghreb Tétouan - Hassania Agadir	0:2
13.02.24	Moghreb Tétouan - Hassania Agadir	1:1
16.09.23	Hassania Agadir - Moghreb Tétouan	0:2
20.04.23	Hassania Agadir - Moghreb Tétouan	1:0
28.12.22	Moghreb Tétouan - Hassania Agadir	2:1
30.05.21	Moghreb Tétouan - Hassania Agadir	2:1
13.02.21	Hassania Agadir - Moghreb Tétouan	1:1

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