Match Info

NORWAY: Eliteserien - Round 2

Date: 7 April 2024, Sunday

Location: Haugesund Stadion (Haugesund)

Referee: Amland S. (Nor)


	Haugesund		Lillestrøm SK

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.6	2.5	Watch
	2.7	3.3	2.45
	2.75	3.5	2.55	Watch
	2.79	3.5	2.6
	2.79	3.46	2.6
	2.5	3.5	2.4
	2.74	3.55	2.5	Watch
	2.65	3.45	2.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.7 ↑ (2.36)	3.48 ↑ (3.46)	2.51 ↓ (2.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Haugesund
35%

Draw
27.2%

Lillestrøm SK
37.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.4%

27.5%

32.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.8%

27.2%

31.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Haugesund has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Haugesund's form might have worsened.

Lillestrøm SK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lillestrøm SK's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Haugesund than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Haugesund, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lillestrøm SK than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lillestrøm SK, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
45.5%	36.4%	18.2%

Haugesund - Lillestrøm SK Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Haugesund will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). Lillestrøm will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 36.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Haugesund: 16.1% – 74.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Selvik E. (G) 25. Hope M. 6. Fredriksen U. 4. Baertelsen A. 2. Niyukuri C. 24. Nyhammer T. 13. Ludviksson A. 21. Eskesen J. 37. Innvaer S. 29. Diarra S. 11. Tounekti S.	12. Hedenstad M. (G) 16. Charles U. 4. Garnas E. B. 28. Gabrielsen R. 3. Roseth M. 7. Ibrahimaj Y. 8. Lundemo M. 23. Asen G. 17. Kitolano E. 10. Olsen T. 33. Skogvold H.
Substitutes
10. Derviskadic E. 22. Falch A. (G) 5. Karlsson H. 3. Krusnell O. 16. Leite B. 9. Liseth S. 14. Samuelsen M. 7. Sauer M. 20. Seone I.	20. Felix Va 30. Foss S. 90. Furaha E. S. 1. Hagerup S. (G) 6. Hoff V. 18. Karlin A. 27. Seferi U. 21. Skaarud D. 19. Tonnesen K.
Coaches
Thorvaldsson O.	Georgson A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
13', 0 - 1, Olsen T. ⚽, Charles U. (A),
24', Diarra S. 🟨,
34', 0 - 2, Kitolano E. ⚽, Olsen T. (A),
45+4', Garnas E. B. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Tounekti S. ↓, Sauer M. ↑,
60', Nyhammer T. ↓, Samuelsen M. ↑,
60', Ludviksson A. ↓, Leite B. ↑,
68', Kitolano E. ↓, Hoff V. ↑,
68', Skogvold H. ↓, Felix Va ↑,
72', Hope M. ↓, Krusnell O. ↑,
72', Diarra S. ↓, Seone I. ↑,
80', Seone I. 🟨,
85', Ibrahimaj Y. ↓, Tonnesen K. ↑,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Haugesund won 1.

Now both teams are in good shape.

Recently Lillestrøm have a series of home games.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Haugesund won 3 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 18-31.

Including matches at home between the teams Haugesund won 2 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 13-17.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Haugesund
Norwegian Eliteserien
31.03.24	Odd - Haugesund	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
17.03.24	Viking Stavanger - Haugesund	2:0 ✺
14.03.24	Haugesund - Åsane	2:1 ✺
10.03.24	Haugesund - Hamarkameratene	1:1 ✺
24.02.24	Haugesund - Bryne	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WLWTW
- Lillestrøm SK
Norwegian Eliteserien
01.04.24	Lillestrøm SK - Kristiansund	2:3 ✺
Club Friendly
23.03.24	Stabæk - Lillestrøm SK	0:1 ✺
16.03.24	Lillestrøm SK - Odd	2:1 ✺
09.03.24	Lillestrøm SK - KFUM-Kameratene Oslo	3:1 ✺
02.03.24	Lillestrøm SK - Mjøndalen	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Eliteserien
05.11.23	Lillestrøm SK - Haugesund	1:0
23.07.23	Haugesund - Lillestrøm SK	1:0
23.10.22	Haugesund - Lillestrøm SK	0:1
24.04.22	Lillestrøm SK - Haugesund	1:0
22.08.21	Haugesund - Lillestrøm SK	0:3
13.06.21	Lillestrøm SK - Haugesund	2:1
25.08.19	Haugesund - Lillestrøm SK	0:2

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