Match Info

Southern League Premier South - Round 18

Date: 22 November 2025, Saturday


	Havant & Waterlooville		Weymouth

	1	X	2
	1.78	3.95	3.35
	1.81	4.20	3.49	Watch
	1.81	3.92	3.4
	1.84	3.85	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↑ (1.7)	3.98 ↑ (3.95)	3.4 ↓ (4.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Havant & Waterlooville
50.3%

Draw
22.9%

Weymouth
26.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.8%

23.6%

21.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.5%

23.3%

21.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Havant & Waterlooville has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Weymouth has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Weymouth's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Havant & Waterlooville than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Havant & Waterlooville, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Weymouth than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Weymouth, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Havant & Waterlooville - Weymouth Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
70', 1 - 0, Maloney L. ⚽,
90+2', 2 - 0, Giwa-McNeil E. ⚽,

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation and 18).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Havant won 1.

Havant has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Weymouth's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Weymouth may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Havant has had a series of away games.

Havant will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Havant won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:12. (average 1.9:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Havant won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:7. (average 2.4:1.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Havant & Waterlooville
English Southern League South Division
17.11.25	Bracknell Town - Havant & Waterlooville	3:0 ✺
08.11.25	Gloucester City - Havant & Waterlooville	3:2 ✺
01.11.25	Berkhamsted - Havant & Waterlooville	2:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
25.10.25	Gloucester City - Havant & Waterlooville	1:0 ✺
English Southern League South Division
22.10.25	Havant & Waterlooville - Hanwell Town	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Weymouth
English Southern League South Division
18.11.25	Weymouth - Taunton Town	2:0 ✺
15.11.25	Weymouth - Basingstoke Town	1:2 ✺
08.11.25	Walton & Hersham - Weymouth	4:0 ✺
01.11.25	Weymouth - Yate Town	2:2 ✺
25.10.25	Hungerford Town - Weymouth	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WLLTT

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
23.03.24	Weymouth - Havant & Waterlooville	4:1
28.10.23	Havant & Waterlooville - Weymouth	1:1
07.04.23	Havant & Waterlooville - Weymouth	2:2
English FA Cup
15.10.22	Havant & Waterlooville - Weymouth	1:2
English National League South
27.09.22	Weymouth - Havant & Waterlooville	0:2
05.02.20	Havant & Waterlooville - Weymouth	3:2
01.01.20	Weymouth - Havant & Waterlooville	0:1

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