Match Info

NIGERIA: NPFL - Round 30

Date: 23 March 2025, Sunday

Location: Awka City Stadium (Awka City Stadium)

Where to Watch on TV:


Nigeria	NPFL Live


	Heartland		Abia Warriors

	1	X	2
	1.5	3.45	7
	1.54	3.6	6.43
	1.5	3.45	7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↓ (1.52)	3.5 (3.5)	6.81 ↓ (8)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Heartland
60.4%

Draw
26.1%

Abia Warriors
13.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.6%

26.7%

11.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.2%

24.8%

12.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Heartland has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Abia Warriors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Heartland than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Abia Warriors than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Heartland - Abia Warriors Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Ogunga K. (G) 27. Agor C. 25. Agu S. 34. Charles E. 10. Ekpo D. 15. Ikwu E. 26. Molokwu C. (C) 14. Nkwo C. 7. Shimagande T. 9. Suraju L. 32. Victor B.	21. Sharp U. (C) 3. Abalogu A. 33. Afolabi I. 9. Antoine I. 18. Ayodele E. 12. Megwo S. 26. Nwoburuoke C. 5. Ogbuagu E. 8. Ojonugwa A. 10. Samson P. 15. Wilson E.
Substitutes
17. Adoh F. 8. Agor C. 19. Ezeamaiwe S. 35. Godwin A. 24. John B. 23. Nwokocha E. (G) 11. Okoro J. 6. Ozor C. 16. Samuel W.	22. Ali I. (G) 32. Dimgba S. 17. Ewuga P. 19. Godwin I. 4. Kangeshima M. 20. Mohammed N. 34. Ogunjimi S. 30. Ogwuche P. 7. Onu E.
Coaches
Amuneke E.	Amapakabo I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
13', Ogbuagu E. 🟨,
45', Molokwu C. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Agor C. ↓, Samuel W. ↑,
46', Charles E. ↓, Ezeamaiwe S. ↑,
57', Ogbuagu E. 🟨,
59', Samson P. ↓, Godwin I. ↑,
80', 0 - 1, Ojonugwa A. ⚽,
83', Ayodele E. ↓, Ogunjimi S. ↑,
84', 🟨,
85', Megwo S. ↓, Ewuga P. ↑,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 and 6).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Heartland won 3.

Heartland is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Abia Warriors is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Heartland is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Heartland won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 12:14 (average 0.9:1.1).

Including matches at home between the teams Heartland won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9:8 (average 1.3:1.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Heartland
Nigerian Premier League
16.03.25	Remo Stars - Heartland	2:0 ✺
09.03.25	Heartland - Bayelsa United	1:1 ✺
02.03.25	Ikorodu City - Heartland	2:0 ✺
26.02.25	Heartland - El-Kanemi Warriors	0:0 ✺
19.02.25	Niger Tornadoes - Heartland	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LTLTL
- Abia Warriors
Nigerian Premier League
16.03.25	Abia Warriors - Bendel Insurance	1:0 ✺
09.03.25	Plateau United - Abia Warriors	1:0 ✺
02.03.25	Abia Warriors - Nasarawa United	1:1 ✺
26.02.25	Kwara United - Abia Warriors	0:0 ✺
19.02.25	Abia Warriors - Enugu Rangers	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WLTTW

Latest Head to Head

Nigerian Premier League
03.11.24	Abia Warriors - Heartland	0:2
13.03.24	Heartland - Abia Warriors	2:0
29.10.23	Abia Warriors - Heartland	1:0
01.05.22	Heartland - Abia Warriors	2:1
16.01.22	Abia Warriors - Heartland	1:0
21.07.21	Abia Warriors - Heartland	2:1
07.03.21	Heartland - Abia Warriors	2:2

Heartland - Abia Warriors: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide