Match Info

NIGERIA: NPFL - Round 28

Date: 9 March 2025, Sunday

Location: Awka City Stadium (Awka City Stadium)

Referee: Abubakar A. (Nga)

Where to Watch on TV:


Nigeria	NPFL Live


	Heartland		Bayelsa United

	1	X	2
	1.49	3.6	6.8
	1.53	3.24	6.3
	1.56	3.34	6.82
	1.51	3.34	7.27
	1.49	3.6	6.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↑ (1.45)	3.42 ↓ (3.6)	6.8 ↓ (7.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Heartland
60%

Draw
26.6%

Bayelsa United
13.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.5%

25.2%

12.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65%

24.2%

11.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Heartland has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Bayelsa United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Heartland than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bayelsa United than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Heartland - Bayelsa United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Ogunga K. (G) 18. Anyanwu P. 34. Charles E. 15. Ikwu E. 33. Iyanda T. I. 26. Molokwu C. (C) 14. Nkwo C. 11. Okoro J. 20. Omaka A. 6. Ozor C. 7. Shimagande T.	35. Clinton A. E. (G) 6. Bameyi D. 5. Biriduba G. (C) 27. Emo J. 14. Jawad M. 4. Loveday S. 20. Malik K. 26. Ogba I. 13. Wisdom M. 8. Yahaya I. 3. Yusuf I.
Substitutes
27. Agor C. 25. Agu S. 37. Chubuike B. 10. Ekpo D. 19. Ezeamaiwe S. 23. Nwokocha E. (G) 16. Samuel W. 9. Suraju L. 32. Victor B.	7. Abdullahi R. 23. Auwal S. 24. Clark F. 33. Ofem E. 29. Ogundare A. 37. Ojobo M. 15. Okorowanta B. 21. Olisa E. 19. Tombiri B.
Coaches
Amuneke E.	Bosso L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
11', Emo J. 🟨,
28', Charles E. ↓, Ezeamaiwe S. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Okoro J. ↓, Ekpo D. ↑,
46', Iyanda T. I. ↓, Samuel W. ↑,
46', Anyanwu P. ↓, Suraju L. ↑,
54', 0 - 1, Yusuf I. ⚽,
60', 1 - 1, Suraju L. ⚽,
67', Ikwu E. 🟨,
77', Wisdom M. ↓, Tombiri B. ↑,
77', Yahaya I. ↓, Auwal S. ↑,
78', 🟨,
90', Emo J. ↓, Ofem E. ↑,
90+5', Ogba I. 🟨,

Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 14 and 15).

Heartland is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Bayelsa is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Heartland is certain favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Heartland won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5:6 (average 1.3:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Heartland won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Heartland
Nigerian Premier League
02.03.25	Ikorodu City - Heartland	2:0 ✺
26.02.25	Heartland - El-Kanemi Warriors	0:0 ✺
19.02.25	Niger Tornadoes - Heartland	2:1 ✺
16.02.25	Heartland - Shooting Stars	2:1 ✺
07.02.25	Katsina United - Heartland	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LTLWL
- Bayelsa United
Nigerian Premier League
02.03.25	Bayelsa United - Bendel Insurance	2:1 ✺
26.02.25	Plateau United - Bayelsa United	1:0 ✺
19.02.25	Bayelsa United - Nasarawa United	2:2 ✺
15.02.25	Kwara United - Bayelsa United	1:0 ✺
09.02.25	Bayelsa United - Enugu Rangers	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 WLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Nigerian Premier League
20.10.24	Bayelsa United - Heartland	1:0
03.04.24	Bayelsa United - Heartland	1:0
27.09.15	Bayelsa United - Heartland	3:1
14.06.15	Heartland - Bayelsa United	4:1

Heartland - Bayelsa United: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide