Match Info

SWPL 1 Women - Championship Group - Round 22

Date: 1 April 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Oriam (Edinburgh) 🌤️ ...


	Hearts		Celtic

	1	X	2
	2.12	3.5	2.82
	2.18	3.7	2.86
	2.16	3.68	2.84	Watch
	2.1	3.3	2.8
	2.16	3.86	2.78
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↓ (2.18)	3.61 ↓ (3.63)	2.82 ↓ (2.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hearts
42.5%

Draw
25.2%

Celtic
32.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

42.2%

25.4%

32.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.6%

25.6%

32.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hearts has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Celtic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hearts than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Celtic than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Hearts - Celtic Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
42', 1 - 0, Maher-Rodgers L. (Own goal),
45+1', 2 - 0, Husband E. ⚽, Andrews J. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
47', Wilde M. 🟥,
48', 3 - 0, Timms G. (Penalty Awarded),
58', 3 - 1, Noonan S. ⚽, McAneny M. (A),
70', 4 - 1, Johns C. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hearts won 1.

Hearts has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Celtic is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Hearts won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 16 matches, and goals 18:57. (average 0.9:3).

Including home matches between the teams, Hearts won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 8 matches, and goals 12:29. (average 1.1:2.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Hearts W	9	7	1	1	34:10	24	22
3	Celtic W	9	7	0	2	25:12	13	21

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hearts Women
Scottish SWPL 1 Women
22.03.26	Hearts - Hibernian	1:2 ✺
18.03.26	Partick Thistle - Hearts	1:4 ✺
15.03.26	Hearts - Glasgow Rangers	3:2 ✺
22.02.26	Celtic - Hearts	5:3 ✺
Scottish Cup Women
15.02.26	Hearts - Celtic	3:4 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LWWLL
- Celtic Women
Scottish SWPL 1 Women
22.03.26	Partick Thistle - Celtic	2:3 ✺
18.03.26	Celtic - Glasgow City	1:1 ✺
15.03.26	Celtic - Hibernian	1:1 ✺
22.02.26	Celtic - Hearts	5:3 ✺
Scottish Cup Women
15.02.26	Hearts - Celtic	3:4 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WTTWW

Latest Head to Head

Scottish SWPL 1 Women
22.02.26	Celtic - Hearts	5:3
Scottish Cup Women
15.02.26	Hearts - Celtic	3:4 ET
Scottish SWPL 1 Women
17.08.25	Hearts - Celtic	1:2
30.04.25	Celtic - Hearts	2:1
16.03.25	Hearts - Celtic	3:1
26.01.25	Celtic - Hearts	4:0
13.10.24	Hearts - Celtic	1:0

Hearts - Celtic