Match Info

Vtora liga - Round 12

Date: 18 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadion Georgi Benkovski (Pazardzhik)


	Hebar Pazardzhik		Pirin Blagoevgrad

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.05	3.1
	2.13	3.2	3.09
	2.56	3.19	2.56	Watch
	2.26	3.14	3.25	Watch
	2.62	3.15	2.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↑ (2.22)	3.15 ↓ (3.23)	2.89 (2.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hebar Pazardzhik
39.1%

Draw
29.2%

Pirin Blagoevgrad
31.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.7%

28%

31.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.3%

26.9%

30.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hebar Pazardzhik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Pirin Blagoevgrad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hebar Pazardzhik than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pirin Blagoevgrad than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	33.3%	16.7%

Hebar Pazardzhik - Pirin Blagoevgrad Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Hebar will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Pirin Blagoevgrad will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Hebar (votes: 1 - 50%). Pirin Blagoevgrad (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gruev B. (G) 29. Angelov Y. 19. Dadakov M. 15. Dikov S. 10. Dotsev V. 8. Ganchev N. 2. Kamenov S. 20. Lyubenov V. 11. Rusinov I. 7. Tsvetanov M. 17. Valchev G.	76. Kostov K. (G) 6. Bandev N. 14. Bliznakov A. 5. Bodurov N. 8. Boyanov L. 15. Buchev D. 17. Dinev Z. 38. Dyulgerov A. 4. Ivanov B. 10. Ivov M. 18. Malinov B.
Substitutes
55. Haydarov M. 18. Kalchev D. . Malamov S. . Mazan R. 70. Mechev S. 77. Pavlov K. 9. Petrov A. . Radev T. 99. Yankov M. (G)	7. Bachev K. 23. Boyanov M. 13. Georgiev E. 25. Kostov I. 11. Kovalenko B. 77. Petkov A. 1. Stefanov D. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 1)
3', 1 - 0, ⚽,
23', 2 - 0, ⚽,
31', 2 - 1, ⚽,
38', 3 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
51', 🟨,
67', 4 - 1, ⚽,
85', 4 - 2, ⚽,
87', 🟨,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 9 and 6).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hebar won 1.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Hebar won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 7:14. (average 0.7:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Hebar won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 1:1.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hebar Pazardzhik
Bulgarian Cup
12.10.25	Metalurg Pernik - Hebar Pazardzhik	1:8 ✺
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
04.10.25	Belasitsa Petrich - Hebar Pazardzhik	0:1 ✺
29.09.25	Hebar Pazardzhik - Dunav Ruse	0:3 ✺
20.09.25	Vihren Sandanski - Hebar Pazardzhik	3:2 ✺
14.09.25	Hebar Pazardzhik - CSKA Sofia II	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WWLLT
- Pirin Blagoevgrad
Bulgarian Cup
12.10.25	Spartak Plovdiv - Pirin Blagoevgrad	2:1 ✺
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
04.10.25	Pirin Blagoevgrad - Chernomorets Burgas	1:0 ✺
29.09.25	Ludogorets II - Pirin Blagoevgrad	2:1 ✺
20.09.25	Belasitsa Petrich - Pirin Blagoevgrad	0:3 ✺
14.09.25	Pirin Blagoevgrad - Dunav Ruse	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Bulgarian Parva Liga
21.05.24	Pirin Blagoevgrad - Hebar Pazardzhik	0:0
11.03.24	Pirin Blagoevgrad - Hebar Pazardzhik	1:1
Bulgarian Cup
28.02.24	Hebar Pazardzhik - Pirin Blagoevgrad	2:1
Bulgarian Parva Liga
18.09.23	Hebar Pazardzhik - Pirin Blagoevgrad	1:2
12.05.23	Pirin Blagoevgrad - Hebar Pazardzhik	2:1
11.03.23	Pirin Blagoevgrad - Hebar Pazardzhik	2:0
28.08.22	Hebar Pazardzhik - Pirin Blagoevgrad	0:0

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