Match Info

ENGLAND: NPL Premier Division - Round 23

Date: 21 December 2024, Saturday


	Hebburn Town		Blyth Spartans

	1	X	2
	1.39	4.33	6
	1.41	4.4	6
	1.41	4.68	7.04
	1.36	4.55	6.95
	1.41	4.4	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↑ (1.35)	4.47 ↓ (4.68)	6.4 ↓ (7.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hebburn Town
65.3%

Draw
20.4%

Blyth Spartans
14.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.7%

19.5%

12.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72%

18.3%

12%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hebburn Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Blyth Spartans has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hebburn Town than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hebburn Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Blyth Spartans than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Hebburn Town - Blyth Spartans Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, Carrington J. P. ⚽,
28', 2 - 0, Elsdon M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
49', 3 - 0, Purewal A. ⚽,
72', 3 - 1, Richardson S. ⚽,

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 8 and 22 in the zone Relegation).

The competitors look crappy now.

Recently Blyth have a series of home games.

In this match Hebburn is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Hebburn won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:1 (average 1.5:0.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Hebburn won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hebburn Town
English NPL Premier Division
14.12.24	Bamber Bridge - Hebburn Town	2:1 ✺
30.11.24	Ilkeston - Hebburn Town	2:1 ✺
16.11.24	Guiseley - Hebburn Town	2:0 ✺
09.11.24	Hebburn Town - Prescot Cables	2:0 ✺
02.11.24	Hebburn Town - United of Manchester	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 LLLWT
- Blyth Spartans
English NPL Premier Division
14.12.24	Blyth Spartans - Prescot Cables	3:3 ✺
03.12.24	Blyth Spartans - United of Manchester	2:2 ✺
30.11.24	Blyth Spartans - Hyde United	0:1 ✺
26.11.24	Blyth Spartans - Bamber Bridge	1:1 ✺
23.11.24	Macclesfield Town - Blyth Spartans	6:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 TTLTL

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
13.08.24	Blyth Spartans - Hebburn Town	0:1
Club Friendly
31.07.21	Hebburn Town - Blyth Spartans	2:1

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