Match Info

National League North - Round 12

Date: 17 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Hednesford Town		Brackley Town

	1	X	2
	1.80	3.40	3.70
	1.80	3.40	3.70
	1.77	3.45	3.80
	1.87	3.68	4.02
	1.84	3.8	3.81	Watch
	1.85	3.60	3.80
	1.89	3.56	3.87
	1.81	3.55	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↓ (1.88)	3.56 ↑ (3.4)	3.81 ↑ (3.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Hednesford Town
50.1%

Draw
25.8%

Brackley Town
24.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

47.7%

26.4%

26%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50%

27.7%

24.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hednesford Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Brackley Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hednesford Town than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brackley Town than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Hednesford Town - Brackley Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 1)
5', 0 - 1, Roberts F. ⚽,
8', 1 - 1, Whitehall D. ⚽,
19', 2 - 1, Ward G. ⚽,
24', Whitehall D. (Penalty Awarded),
37', 3 - 1, Ward G. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
83', 3 - 2, Coates K. ⚽,

Preview

Two mid-table squads battle for vital points to solidify their season (ranked 12th and 16th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hednesford won 1.

Hednesford has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Brackley is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Brackley may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Brackley has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.

Bookmakers give the edge to Hednesford for this game.

In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Hednesford has recorded 1 win, 2 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 7:8 (averaging 1.2:1.3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Hednesford against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 6:5 goals (averaging 2:1.7 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Hednesford	14	6	3	5	23:20	3	21
18	Brackley Town	14	4	4	6	17:26	-9	16

Last Results with these Odds

Brackley Town - the odds 3.45 are the expected chance of winning is 25.98%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hednesford Town
English National League North
10.10.26	Hereford - Hednesford Town	0:1 ✺
26.09.26	Hednesford Town - Radcliffe	4:1 ✺
12.09.26	Hebburn Town - Hednesford Town	2:1 ✺
08.09.26	King`s Lynn Town - Hednesford Town	2:3 ✺
05.09.26	Hednesford Town - South Shields	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 WWLWL
- Brackley Town
English National League North
10.10.26	Brackley Town - Spennymoor Town	2:1 ✺
English FA Cup
03.10.26	Brackley Town - Chelmsford City	0:2 ✺
English National League North
29.09.26	Brackley Town - South Shields	3:2 ✺
26.09.26	Brackley Town - Scarborough Athletic	1:1 ✺
English FA Cup
19.09.26	Brackley Town - Portchester	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 WLWTW

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
27.02.16	Hednesford Town - Brackley Town	0:2
19.09.15	Brackley Town - Hednesford Town	1:1
25.04.15	Brackley Town - Hednesford Town	1:0
21.02.15	Hednesford Town - Brackley Town	4:1
01.04.14	Hednesford Town - Brackley Town	2:2
23.11.13	Brackley Town - Hednesford Town	1:0

Upcoming Matches