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Current Win Probability
Heerenveen 45.2%
Draw 25.3%
Utrecht 29.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
35.2%
26.3%
38.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38%
24.4%
35.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Heerenveen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Heerenveen's performance.
Utrecht has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Utrecht might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Heerenveen than the current prediction. (-7.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Heerenveen that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Utrecht than the current prediction. (+6.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Utrecht could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Heerenveen - Utrecht Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. van der Klooster A. (G) 15. Macleane H. 24. Venema L. 3. Appelmann I. 14. van Vilsteren E. 7. Algra H. 5. Nassette A. (C) 8. de Haas R. 19. Hunten G. 43. de Groot F. 9. Franken B.
1. Bastiaen F. (C) 16. Heshof K. 2. Hermans F. 33. Weerelts A. 5. Werkhoven C. 7. de Jong S. 6. Kira C. 11. Vos L. 13. Scheunemann C. 34. Hader M. 19. Booms I.
Substitutes
90. Buikema S. (G) 17. de Boer F. 10. Maass E. 99. Sliskovic G. 11. van Spijk V. 22. Verheijen J. 21. Vermeer B.
32. Blaak L. (G) 9. Dap R. 14. Henry Z. 31. Klaver A. (G) 23. Netto M. 22. Touw M. 17. van Hoof F. 99. van Kasteel N. 8. Verkuijl M. 18. Vijlbrief R.
Coaches
Tarvajarvi N.
Smit S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, Franken B. ⚽,
33', 2 - 0, de Groot F. ⚽, Venema L. (A),
39', Hader M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
57', de Groot F. ↓, de Boer F. ↑,
58', Hunten G. ↓, Maass E. ↑,
62', Kira C. ↓, Henry Z. ↑,
62', Werkhoven C. ↓, Netto M. ↑,
62', Weerelts A. ↓, van Hoof F. ↑,
75', Dap R. ↓, Verkuijl M. ↑,
76', Franken B. ↓, Vermeer B. ↑,
76', Algra H. ↓, van Spijk V. ↑,
82', Nassette A. ↓, Verheijen J. ↑,
85', Booms I. ↓, Vijlbrief R. ↑,
Preview
A dramatic battle between two struggling sides fighting for survival points (ranked 9th and 10th in the Relegation).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Heerenveen won 1.
Heerenveen has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Utrecht is on a prolonged losing streak (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Utrecht could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Heerenveen is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 8 head-to-head meetings, Heerenveen has recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 10:18 (averaging 1.3:2.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Heerenveen against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with 6:6 goals (averaging 1.5:1.5 per game).
Netherlands
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van der Klooster A. (G) 
Hunten G. 
Bastiaen F. (C) 
Kira C. 
Scheunemann C. 
Sliskovic G. 
Netto M. 
Tarvajarvi N. 
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