Match Info

I Lyga - Round 9

Date: 11 May 2026, Monday

Where to Watch on TV:


Lithuania	LNK


	Hegelmann Litauen 2		Transinvest 2

	1	X	2
	1.98	3.45	3.1
	2.05	3.48	3.1
	2.03	3.48	3.2	Watch
	1.95	3.3	3.2
	1.96	3.58	3.21
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↓ (2.49)	3.46 ↓ (3.63)	3.16 ↑ (2.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hegelmann Litauen 2
45.3%

Draw
26.1%

Transinvest 2
28.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.3%

24.9%

38.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.8%

25.2%

38.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hegelmann Litauen 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hegelmann Litauen 2's performance.

Transinvest 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Transinvest 2 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hegelmann Litauen 2 than the current prediction. (-8.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hegelmann Litauen 2 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Transinvest 2 than the current prediction. (+9.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Transinvest 2 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Hegelmann Litauen 2 - Transinvest 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
14', 0 - 1, ⚽,
35', 0 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
54', 1 - 2, ⚽,
55', 🟥,

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 13 and 12)

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	Transinvest 2	25	6	3	16	29:58	-29	21
14	Hegelmann Litauen 2	25	6	1	18	26:59	-33	19

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hegelmann Litauen 2
Lithuanian Division 2
03.05.26	FA Šiauliai B - Hegelmann Litauen 2	2:0 ✺
24.04.26	Hegelmann Litauen 2 - Kauno Žalgiris 2	2:0 ✺
18.04.26	Ekranas - Hegelmann Litauen 2	1:3 ✺
05.04.26	Hegelmann Litauen 2 - BE1 NFA Kaunas	0:3 ✺
18.03.26	Minija Kretinga - Hegelmann Litauen 2	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LWWLL
- Transinvest 2
Lithuanian Division 2
03.05.26	Transinvest 2 - Minija Kretinga	1:7 ✺
25.04.26	Jonava - Transinvest 2	4:0 ✺
19.04.26	Transinvest 2 - Žalgiris Vilnius 2	2:2 ✺
03.04.26	Atmosfera Mažeikiai - Transinvest 2	1:2 ✺
21.03.26	Transinvest 2 - BFA Vilnius	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 LLTWW

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