Match Info

I Lyga - Round 8

Date: 3 May 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Lithuania	LNK
World	FIFA+


	Transinvest 2		Minija Kretinga

	1	X	2
	7.5	4.75	1.31	Watch
	7.62	4.99	1.28
	7.6	4.73	1.33	Watch
	8	4.4	1.3
	8.9	4.95	1.27
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.92 ↑ (5.41)	4.76 ↑ (4.3)	1.3 ↓ (1.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 9.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Transinvest 2
11.4%

Draw
19%

Minija Kretinga
69.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17%

21.4%

61.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.8%

21.2%

62.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Transinvest 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Transinvest 2's form might have worsened.

Minija Kretinga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Minija Kretinga's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Transinvest 2 than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Transinvest 2, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Minija Kretinga than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Minija Kretinga, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Transinvest 2 - Minija Kretinga Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
20', 1 - 0, ⚽,
42', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 6)
53', 1 - 2, ⚽,
59', 1 - 3, ⚽,
62', 1 - 4, ⚽,
67', 1 - 5, ⚽,
80', 1 - 6, ⚽,
82', 1 - 7, ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 12 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ TOPLYGA (Promotion: )).

Transinvest 2 has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Minija is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Transinvest 2 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Minija is a strong favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	FK Minija	25	22	1	2	68:13	55	67
13	Transinvest 2	25	6	3	16	29:58	-29	21

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Transinvest 2
Lithuanian Division 2
25.04.26	Jonava - Transinvest 2	4:0 ✺
19.04.26	Transinvest 2 - Žalgiris Vilnius 2	2:2 ✺
03.04.26	Atmosfera Mažeikiai - Transinvest 2	1:2 ✺
21.03.26	Transinvest 2 - BFA Vilnius	1:0 ✺
18.03.26	Babrungas Plungė - Transinvest 2	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 LTWWL
- Minija Kretinga
Lithuanian Cup
28.04.26	Minija Kretinga - Sūduva Marijampolė	3:2 penalties ✺
Lithuanian Division 2
25.04.26	Minija Kretinga - FA Šiauliai B	3:1 ✺
19.04.26	Kauno Žalgiris 2 - Minija Kretinga	0:4 ✺
04.04.26	Minija Kretinga - Ekranas	2:1 ✺
22.03.26	BE1 NFA Kaunas - Minija Kretinga	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 WWWWW

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