Match Info

GERMANY: REGIONALLIGA BAYERN - ROUND 38

Date: 27 May 2023, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Heimstetten		Ansbach

	1	X	2
	4	4.33	1.57
	4.3	4.7	1.5
	3.94	5.11	1.65
	4.33	3.9	1.6
	4.45	4.45	1.6	Watch
	4.2	4.5	1.59
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.2 ↑ (3.33)	4.5 ↑ (3.7)	1.59 ↓ (1.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Heimstetten
21.8%

Draw
20.4%

Ansbach
57.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

27.1%

24.4%

48.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.9%

20.1%

39.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Heimstetten has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Heimstetten's form might have worsened.

Ansbach has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ansbach's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Heimstetten than the current prediction. (+11.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Heimstetten, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ansbach than the current prediction. (-17.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ansbach, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	0%	60%

Heimstetten - Ansbach Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Heimstetten will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Ansbach will win (votes: 3 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 15 in the zone Regionalliga Bayern (Relegation)).

The competitors look crappy now.

Ansbach could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Ansbach is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Heimstetten won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SV Heimstetten
German Regionalliga Bayern
20.05.23	Eichstätt - Heimstetten	5:0 ✺
13.05.23	Heimstetten - Pipinsried	3:3 ✺
06.05.23	Nürnberg II - Heimstetten	1:1 ✺
29.04.23	Heimstetten - Hankofen-Hailing	1:2 ✺
22.04.23	Würzburger Kickers - Heimstetten	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 LTTLL
- Spvgg Ansbach 09
German Regionalliga Bayern
20.05.23	Ansbach - Augsburg II	5:2 ✺
12.05.23	Illertissen - Ansbach	2:0 ✺
06.05.23	Ansbach - Buchbach	1:4 ✺
29.04.23	Schweinfurt - Ansbach	2:1 ✺
22.04.23	Ansbach - Unterhaching	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga Bayern
29.10.22	Ansbach - Heimstetten	4:2

Heimstetten - Ansbach