Match Info

Regionalliga Bayern - Round 10

Date: 23 September 2025, Tuesday


	Ansbach		Buchbach

	1	X	2
	2.78	3.6	2.2
	2.76	3.8	2.33
	2.76	3.52	2.21
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.77 ↓ (2.98)	3.64 ↑ (3.57)	2.25 ↑ (2.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ansbach
33.4%

Draw
25.4%

Buchbach
41.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.9%

25.8%

43.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.3%

25.3%

44.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ansbach has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Buchbach has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ansbach than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Buchbach than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Ansbach - Buchbach Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
43', 1 - 0, Weeger E. (Pen),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
62', 1 - 1, Bahar S. ⚽,
73', 2 - 1, Schmidt L. ⚽,
90+4', 3 - 1, Nuhanovic D. ⚽,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 13 and 8).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ansbach won 1.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Ansbach may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Buchbach could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Ansbach won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:11. (average 1.8:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Ansbach won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:6. (average 2.7:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Spvgg Ansbach 09
German Regionalliga Bayern
20.09.25	Eichstätt - Ansbach	2:2 ✺
12.09.25	Ansbach - Augsburg II	3:2 ✺
29.08.25	Ansbach - Viktoria Aschaffenburg	3:0 ✺
22.08.25	Nürnberg II - Ansbach	3:1 ✺
15.08.25	Ansbach - Aubstadt	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 TWWLT
- TSV Buchbach
German Regionalliga Bayern
19.09.25	Buchbach - Unterhaching	1:1 ✺
12.09.25	Memmingen - Buchbach	1:1 ✺
05.09.25	Buchbach - Wacker Burghausen	3:1 ✺
29.08.25	Bayreuth - Buchbach	2:0 ✺
22.08.25	Buchbach - Schwaben Augsburg	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 TTWLW

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga Bayern
21.03.25	Buchbach - Ansbach	1:1
14.09.24	Ansbach - Buchbach	2:2
28.10.23	Ansbach - Buchbach	5:0
22.07.23	Buchbach - Ansbach	0:0
06.05.23	Ansbach - Buchbach	1:4
07.10.22	Buchbach - Ansbach	4:2

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