Match Info

Date: 13 August 2021, Friday


	Heimstetten		Bayreuth

	1	X	2
	4.2	4.1	1.58
	4.6	4.25	1.55
	4.1	3.95	1.68
	4.42	4.26	1.7
	4.2	3.8	1.67
	4.25	4.25	1.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.3 ↓ (4.52)	4.1 ↓ (4.21)	1.65 ↓ (1.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Heimstetten
21.5%

Draw
22.5%

Bayreuth
56%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.8%

22.4%

56.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.1%

18.4%

69.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Heimstetten has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Bayreuth has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Heimstetten than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bayreuth than the current prediction. (+13.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bayreuth could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Heimstetten - Bayreuth Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 10 and 3).

Heimstetten is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Bayreuth is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Bayreuth is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Heimstetten won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 8-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Heimstetten won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SV Heimstetten
German Regionalliga Bayern
06.08.21	1860 Rosenheim - Heimstetten	0:2 ✺
03.08.21	Heimstetten - Unterhaching	0:2 ✺
31.07.21	Schalding-Heining - Heimstetten	0:0 ✺
27.07.21	Heimstetten - Pipinsried	1:3 ✺
23.07.21	Bayern Munich II - Heimstetten	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WLTLL
- SpVgg Bayreuth
German DFB Pokal
07.08.21	Bayreuth - Arminia Bielefeld	3:6 ✺
German Regionalliga Bayern
03.08.21	Nürnberg II - Bayreuth	0:3 ✺
30.07.21	Bayreuth - Wacker Burghausen	2:3 ✺
27.07.21	Aubstadt - Bayreuth	1:2 ✺
23.07.21	Greuther Fürth II - Bayreuth	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga Bayern
19.10.19	Heimstetten - Bayreuth	0:3
10.11.18	Heimstetten - Bayreuth	3:4
20.07.18	Bayreuth - Heimstetten	0:1
08.11.14	Bayreuth - Heimstetten	2:0
29.07.14	Heimstetten - Bayreuth	4:0

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