Match Info

Regionalliga Bayern - Round 11

Date: 26 September 2025, Friday


	Bayreuth		Wacker Burghausen

	1	X	2
	2.62	3.6	2.3
	2.69	3.65	2.27
	2.69	3.54	2.25
	2.14	3.75	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.54 ↑ (2.24)	3.64 ↓ (3.71)	2.43 ↓ (2.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bayreuth
36.5%

Draw
25.4%

Wacker Burghausen
38.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.8%

24.6%

34.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.4%

23.8%

35.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bayreuth has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

Wacker Burghausen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bayreuth than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wacker Burghausen than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Bayreuth - Wacker Burghausen Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
13', 0 - 1, Bachschmid F. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
47', 0 - 2, Bachschmid F. ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 10 and 7).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bayreuth won 2.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Burghausen may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Bayreuth won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 18:27. (average 1.1:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Bayreuth won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:16. (average 1.1:1.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SpVgg Bayreuth
German Regionalliga Bayern
23.09.25	Memmingen - Bayreuth	1:1 ✺
19.09.25	Bayreuth - Greuther Fürth II	0:3 ✺
13.09.25	Bayreuth - Eichstätt	0:2 ✺
05.09.25	Schwaben Augsburg - Bayreuth	2:2 ✺
29.08.25	Bayreuth - Buchbach	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 TLLTW
- Wacker Burghausen
German Regionalliga Bayern
23.09.25	Wacker Burghausen - Hankofen-Hailing	0:0 ✺
12.09.25	Wacker Burghausen - Viktoria Aschaffenburg	5:2 ✺
05.09.25	Buchbach - Wacker Burghausen	3:1 ✺
29.08.25	Wacker Burghausen - Illertissen	4:1 ✺
23.08.25	Eichstätt - Wacker Burghausen	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 TWLWL

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga Bayern
02.05.25	Wacker Burghausen - Bayreuth	3:1
18.10.24	Bayreuth - Wacker Burghausen	1:0
19.04.24	Wacker Burghausen - Bayreuth	1:1
03.10.23	Bayreuth - Wacker Burghausen	1:1
19.11.21	Wacker Burghausen - Bayreuth	0:1
30.07.21	Bayreuth - Wacker Burghausen	2:3
28.09.19	Bayreuth - Wacker Burghausen	0:0

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