Match Info

Date: 8 October 2022, Saturday


	Heimstetten		Nürnberg II

	1	X	2
	4.5	4.1	1.53
	4.5	4.1	1.6
	4.6	4.3	1.56
	5	4.5	1.52
	5.25	3.9	1.5
	5.35	4.45	1.52	Watch
	4.6	4.3	1.56
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.83 ↓ (5.93)	4.24 ↓ (4.47)	1.54 ↑ (1.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Heimstetten
19%

Draw
21.6%

Nürnberg II
59.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.2%

20.1%

64.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.9%

19.6%

66.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Heimstetten has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Nürnberg II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Nürnberg II might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Heimstetten than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nürnberg II than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nürnberg II could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Heimstetten - Nürnberg II Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 4).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Heimstetten won 0.

Heimstetten is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Nürnberg II is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Nürnberg II is a favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Heimstetten won 0 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 4-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Heimstetten won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SV Heimstetten
German Regionalliga Bayern
03.10.22	Hankofen-Hailing - Heimstetten	1:0 ✺
30.09.22	Heimstetten - Würzburger Kickers	0:3 ✺
24.09.22	Aubstadt - Heimstetten	4:1 ✺
16.09.22	Heimstetten - Greuther Fürth II	2:0 ✺
10.09.22	Bayern Munich II - Heimstetten	6:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLLWL
- Nürnberg II
German Regionalliga Bayern
03.10.22	Nürnberg II - Augsburg II	1:2 ✺
30.09.22	Illertissen - Nürnberg II	0:1 ✺
24.09.22	Nürnberg II - Buchbach	4:0 ✺
16.09.22	Schweinfurt - Nürnberg II	1:3 ✺
10.09.22	Nürnberg II - Unterhaching	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 LWWWT

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga Bayern
23.04.22	Nürnberg II - Heimstetten	0:0
25.09.21	Heimstetten - Nürnberg II	0:0
12.10.19	Nürnberg II - Heimstetten	3:1
23.03.19	Heimstetten - Nürnberg II	1:2
01.09.18	Nürnberg II - Heimstetten	3:0
29.11.14	Heimstetten - Nürnberg II	0:0
04.08.14	Nürnberg II - Heimstetten	3:1

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