Match Info

Regionalliga Bayern - Round 32

Date: 2 May 2026, Saturday


	Nürnberg II		Buchbach

	1	X	2
	1.3	5.3	7.5
	1.3	5.72	7.29
	1.32	5.01	7.69
	1.3	5	7
	1.27	5.3	8
	1.27	5.3	8.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.29 ↓ (1.3)	5.27 ↑ (5)	7.59 ↓ (7.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nürnberg II
70.6%

Draw
17.3%

Buchbach
12%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70%

18.2%

11.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.9%

17.5%

11.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nürnberg II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Buchbach has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nürnberg II than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Buchbach than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Nürnberg II - Buchbach Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 1)
7', 1 - 0, von der Hitz J. ⚽,
22', 2 - 0, Kusanovic T. ⚽,
30', 3 - 0, von der Hitz J. ⚽,
34', 3 - 1, Mbila J. ⚽,
2nd Half (6 - 0)
47', 4 - 1, Chaikhoun A. ⚽,
66', 5 - 1, Obiogumu D. U. ⚽,
73', 6 - 1, Menig F. ⚽,
76', 7 - 1, Hagmeyer B. ⚽,
78', 8 - 1, Hagmeyer B. ⚽,
86', 9 - 1, Skowronek J. ⚽,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ 3. Liga and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nürnberg II won 3.

Nürnberg II is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Buchbach is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Nürnberg II may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Nürnberg II has had a series of away games.

In this match, Nürnberg II is the clear favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Nürnberg II won 9 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 41:30. (average 2.1:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Nürnberg II won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 18:13. (average 1.8:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Buchbach	12	8	3	1	25:11	14	27
13	Nurnberg II	11	4	1	6	21:17	4	13

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nürnberg II
German Regionalliga Bayern
28.04.26	Wacker Burghausen - Nürnberg II	3:4 ✺
24.04.26	Viktoria Aschaffenburg - Nürnberg II	0:1 ✺
21.04.26	Nürnberg II - Bayern Munich II	4:1 ✺
18.04.26	Eichstätt - Nürnberg II	2:2 ✺
10.04.26	Illertissen - Nürnberg II	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WWWTT
- TSV Buchbach
German Regionalliga Bayern
24.04.26	Buchbach - Augsburg II	0:4 ✺
21.04.26	Vilzing - Buchbach	3:0 ✺
17.04.26	Buchbach - Illertissen	0:3 ✺
11.04.26	Aubstadt - Buchbach	4:1 ✺
06.04.26	Buchbach - Ansbach	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga Bayern
24.10.25	Buchbach - Nürnberg II	1:2
29.03.25	Nürnberg II - Buchbach	1:2
21.09.24	Buchbach - Nürnberg II	0:0
22.03.24	Buchbach - Nürnberg II	1:3
09.09.23	Nürnberg II - Buchbach	4:2
14.04.23	Buchbach - Nürnberg II	4:3
24.09.22	Nürnberg II - Buchbach	4:0

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