Match Info

GERMANY: OBERLIGA BAYERN SÜD - ROUND 21

Date: 18 November 2023, Saturday


	Heimstetten		Schwaben Augsburg

	1	X	2
	2.65	3.75	2.2	Watch
	2.81	3.55	2.27
	2.81	3.54	2.28
	2.6	3.5	2.1
	2.69	3.6	2.21
	2.65	3.75	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.7 ↑ (2.25)	3.62 ↓ (4)	2.21 ↓ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Heimstetten
33.7%

Draw
25.2%

Schwaben Augsburg
41.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40%

22.5%

37.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.5%

22.8%

37%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Heimstetten has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Heimstetten's form might have worsened.

Schwaben Augsburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Heimstetten than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Heimstetten, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Schwaben Augsburg than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

Heimstetten - Schwaben Augsburg Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 3 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Regionalliga Bayern).

Recent matches Heimstetten is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Schwaben Augsburg is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Heimstetten won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Heimstetten won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SV Heimstetten
German Oberliga Bayern Süd
11.11.23	1860 München II - Heimstetten	2:1 ✺
04.11.23	Heimstetten - Deisenhofen	2:0 ✺
28.10.23	Kirchheimer - Heimstetten	1:3 ✺
21.10.23	Nördlingen - Heimstetten	2:1 ✺
14.10.23	Heimstetten - Türkspor Augsburg	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LWWLW
- TSV Schwaben Augsburg
German Oberliga Bayern Süd
11.11.23	Schwaben Augsburg - Ismaning	3:3 ✺
05.11.23	Garching - Schwaben Augsburg	1:4 ✺
28.10.23	Schwaben Augsburg - Sonthofen	1:0 ✺
21.10.23	Schwaben Augsburg - Kirchanschöring	5:0 ✺
14.10.23	Erlbach - Schwaben Augsburg	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 TWWWL

Latest Head to Head

German Oberliga Bayern Süd
05.08.23	Schwaben Augsburg - Heimstetten	4:1
04.05.18	Heimstetten - Schwaben Augsburg	3:5
14.10.17	Schwaben Augsburg - Heimstetten	3:3

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