Match Info

GERMANY: REGIONALLIGA BAYERN - ROUND 21

Date: 12 November 2022, Saturday


	Heimstetten		Vilzing

	1	X	2
	2.35	3.6	2.4
	2.35	3.85	2.4
	2.36	3.7	2.55
	2.29	4.08	2.66
	2.45	3.5	2.4
	2.35	3.78	2.63
	2.34	3.65	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.36 ↓ (2.62)	3.74 ↑ (3.65)	2.51 ↑ (2.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Heimstetten
38.9%

Draw
24.5%

Vilzing
36.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.4%

24.7%

40.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34%

24.4%

41.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Heimstetten has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Vilzing has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Heimstetten than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vilzing than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

Heimstetten - Vilzing Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 8).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Heimstetten won 1.

Heimstetten is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Vilzing is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Heimstetten could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Heimstetten won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 13-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Heimstetten won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SV Heimstetten
German Regionalliga Bayern
29.10.22	Ansbach - Heimstetten	4:2 ✺
22.10.22	Heimstetten - Eichstätt	2:4 ✺
15.10.22	Pipinsried - Heimstetten	1:1 ✺
08.10.22	Heimstetten - Nürnberg II	5:3 ✺
03.10.22	Hankofen-Hailing - Heimstetten	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 LLTWL
- DJK Vilzing
German Regionalliga Bayern
05.11.22	Vilzing - Augsburg II	3:2 ✺
29.10.22	Vilzing - Illertissen	1:1 ✺
22.10.22	Buchbach - Vilzing	1:2 ✺
15.10.22	Vilzing - Schweinfurt	1:2 ✺
08.10.22	Unterhaching - Vilzing	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WTWLL

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga Bayern
23.07.22	Vilzing - Heimstetten	3:2
German Oberliga Bayern Süd
25.11.17	Heimstetten - Vilzing	3:2
12.08.17	Vilzing - Heimstetten	2:2
13.05.17	Vilzing - Heimstetten	3:2
15.10.16	Heimstetten - Vilzing	0:1
06.04.16	Heimstetten - Vilzing	2:0
05.08.15	Vilzing - Heimstetten	0:2

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