Match Info

BELGIUM: National Division 1 - VV - Round 24

Date: 8 March 2025, Saturday

Location: Gemeentelijk Sportcentrum (Heist-Op-Den-Berg)


	Heist		Hoogstraten

	1	X	2
	2.8	3.5	2.05
	2.8	3.4	2.23
	2.87	3.8	2.21
	2.8	3.78	2.14
	2.85	3.54	2.15
	2.8	3.4	2.23
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.82 ↓ (3.86)	3.57 ↓ (4)	2.17 ↑ (1.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Heist
32.4%

Draw
25.6%

Hoogstraten
42.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.5%

22.7%

53.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.3%

22.5%

54.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Heist has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Heist's performance.

Hoogstraten has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hoogstraten might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Heist than the current prediction. (-9.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Heist that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hoogstraten than the current prediction. (+12.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hoogstraten could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Heist - Hoogstraten Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 2)
46', 1 - 0, ⚽,
65', 1 - 1, ⚽,
77', 1 - 2, ⚽,
79', 2 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 9).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Heist won 3.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Hoogstraten will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Heist won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 17:9 (average 2.4:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Heist won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9:2 (average 3:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KSK Heist
Belgian National Division 1 VV
01.03.25	Heist - Cercle Brugge 2	1:4 ✺
22.02.25	Ninove - Heist	2:2 ✺
15.02.25	Heist - Tienen	1:0 ✺
08.02.25	Belisia Bilzen - Heist	2:3 ✺
01.02.25	Heist - Merelbeke	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26.9 LTWWL
- Hoogstraten VV
Belgian National Division 1 VV
02.03.25	Tienen - Hoogstraten	2:0 ✺
22.02.25	Hoogstraten - Thes Sport	0:2 ✺
16.02.25	Leuven B - Hoogstraten	1:4 ✺
08.02.25	Hoogstraten - Ninove	2:0 ✺
02.02.25	Knokke - Hoogstraten	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 LLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Belgian National Division 1 VV
05.10.24	Hoogstraten - Heist	2:1
Belgian National Division 1
04.05.24	Hoogstraten - Heist	2:3
16.09.23	Heist - Hoogstraten	1:0
Club Friendly
17.08.16	Heist - Hoogstraten	6:1
01.08.15	Hoogstraten - Heist	3:3
Belgian Challenger Pro League
11.01.14	Hoogstraten - Heist	0:1
07.09.13	Heist - Hoogstraten	2:1

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