The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Heist 43.4%
Draw 27%
Tienen 29.5%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
55.1%
24.4%
20.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
58.2%
25.8%
19.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Heist has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Heist's form might have worsened.
Tienen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tienen's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Heist than the current prediction. (+14.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Heist, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tienen than the current prediction. (-10.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tienen, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Heist - Tienen Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
22', 1 - 0, ⚽,
39', 2 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
81', 3 - 0, ⚽,
88', 4 - 0, ⚽,
Preview
A tightly contested fixture between two evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 12th and 11th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Heist won 1.
Recent results have been tough for Heist (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Tienen is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Tienen could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Heist carries the favorite tag into this contest.
In the last 9 head-to-head meetings, Heist has recorded 2 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 10:14 (averaging 1.1:1.6 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Heist against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 3:2 goals (averaging 1.5:1 per game).