Match Info

Belgian Cup - 1/16-finals

Date: 29 October 2025, Wednesday

Location: Gemeentelijk Sportcentrum (Heist-Op-Den-Berg)


	Heist		RAAL La Louvière

	1	X	2
	8	5.5	1.27	Watch
	11	5.95	1.24	Watch
	17.09	1.32	3.99	Watch
	9.45	5.35	1.28	Watch
	9	5.5	1.27
Avarage Now (Initially)	10.91 ↑ (8)	4.72 ↓ (5.33)	1.81 ↑ (1.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Heist
10.7%

Draw
24.7%

RAAL La Louvière
64.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

11.6%

17.3%

71.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

11%

16.3%

75.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Heist has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

RAAL La Louvière has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and RAAL La Louvière might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Heist than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for RAAL La Louvière than the current prediction. (+10.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that RAAL La Louvière could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Heist - RAAL La Louvière Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Heist will win (votes: 1 - 25%). La Louvière will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Van Aerschot F. (G) 5. Bitsindou S. 14. Devolder A. 2. El Banouhi S. 11. Goossens J. 20. Heyselberghs M. 19. Lambo Z. J. 25. Maho K. 17. Schodts G. 8. Van Campenhout M. 4. Zoete S.	1. De Schrevel C. (G) 17. Bretelle L. 7. Fall P. M. 3. Gillot N. 9. Guindo M. 23. Ito J. 13. Maisonneuve M. 99. Okou Y. 10. Pau M. 26. Riou M. 51. Sidibe S.
Substitutes
7. Carrasco M. 56. de Preter M. 13. Dierickx A. 18. Janssens J. 27. Matisse B. 9. Muaxambi T. 77. Owusu K. 6. Sabhaoui Y.	22. Afriyie J. 6. Beka Beka A. 19. Benavides D. 4. Faye W. 8. Gueulette S. 25. Lamego D. 11. Liongola J. 5. Lutonda T. 21. Peano M. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
37', 0 - 1, Pau M. (Pen),
38', 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Okou Y. ↓, Lamego D. ↑,
57', 1 - 1, Goossens J. ⚽,
86', 🟨,
88', 1 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Heist may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Heist has had a series of away games.

In this match, La Louvière is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Heist won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Heist won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KSK Heist
Belgian Second Amateur Division Group B
18.10.25	Bocholter - Heist	0:1 ✺
11.10.25	Heist - Berchem	2:2 ✺
04.10.25	Tongeren - Heist	1:0 ✺
27.09.25	KRC Mechelen - Heist	1:3 ✺
13.09.25	Nijlen - Heist	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 WTLWT
- RAAL La Louvière
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
26.10.25	Genk - RAAL La Louvière	1:1 ✺
18.10.25	RAAL La Louvière - Westerlo	0:0 ✺
04.10.25	RAAL La Louvière - Zulte Waregem	0:0 ✺
28.09.25	Dender EH - RAAL La Louvière	0:0 ✺
20.09.25	Oud-Heverlee Leuven - RAAL La Louvière	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.5 TTTTW

Latest Head to Head

Belgian National Division 1
16.03.24	RAAL La Louvière - Heist	1:2
14.10.23	Heist - RAAL La Louvière	0:2
05.10.19	Heist - RAAL La Louvière	1:1

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