Match Info

Jupiler Pro League - Relegation Group - Round 35

Date: 3 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Dender Football Complex (Denderleeuw)

Referee: Verbeke B. (Bel)

Where to Watch on TV:


Belgium	Sporza, Sporza


	Dender EH		RAAL La Louvière

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.5	2.45	Watch
	2.75	3.5	2.45
	2.88	3.4	2.35	Watch
	2.81	3.6	2.59
	2.73	3.44	2.53	Watch
	2.63	3.3	2.45
	2.79	3.61	2.53	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.76 ↓ (2.95)	3.48 ↓ (3.49)	2.48 ↑ (2.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dender EH
34.4%

Draw
27.3%

RAAL La Louvière
38.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.1%

27.1%

40.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.7%

27.4%

41.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dender EH has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

RAAL La Louvière has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dender EH than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for RAAL La Louvière than the current prediction. (+3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	20%	20%

Dender EH - RAAL La Louvière Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Dender EH will win (votes: 3 - 60%). La Louvière will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Dender EH (1.92) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - no (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Dender EH (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Dietsch G. (G) 6. De Kerf B. 44. De Fougerolles L. 7. Goncalves B. 5. Marijnissen L. 18. Rodes N. (C) 24. Viltard M. 15. Koton K. 23. Acquah D. 90. Berte M. 27. Jahanbakhsh A.	1. De Schrevel C. (G) 4. Faye W. (C) 99. Okou Y. 13. Maisonneuve M. 11. Liongola J. 23. Ito J. 6. Beka Beka A. 3. Gillot N. 28. Soumare B. 27. Nsingi N. 7. Fall P. M.
Substitutes
45. Daali A. 1. Fortin L. (G) 16. Kvet R. 46. Lembi E. 67. Moutha-Sebtaoui N. 77. Nsimba B. 11. Oratmangoen R. 70. Sambu M. 9. Toshevski D.	22. Afriyie J. 18. Ashimeru M. 8. Gueulette S. 15. Lahssaini S. 25. Lamego D. 5. Lutonda T. 20. Makembo-Ntemo N. 21. Peano M. (G) 91. Traore S.
Coaches
Ferrera Y.	Taquin F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
31', 0 - 1, Fall P. M. ⚽,
32', Jahanbakhsh A. ↓, Nsimba B. ↑,
34', 1 - 1, Berte M. ⚽, Acquah D. (A),
43', 2 - 1, Nsimba B. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Soumare B. ↓, Afriyie J. ↑,
46', Beka Beka A. ↓, Ashimeru M. ↑,
46', Acquah D. ↓, Oratmangoen R. ↑,
47', Nsingi N. 🟨,
53', Oratmangoen R. 🟨,
60', De Fougerolles L. ↓, Sambu M. ↑,
60', Nsingi N. ↓, Gueulette S. ↑,
72', Liongola J. ↓, Lutonda T. ↑,
75', Viltard M. ↓, Kvet R. ↑,
75', Nsimba B. ↓, Daali A. ↑,
88', De Kerf B. 🟥,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dender EH won 3.

Dender EH is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

La Louvière has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Dender EH may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Dender EH: Cools K. (Inactive) Daali A. (Inactive) Ferraro F. (Inactive) Fredrick B. (Knee Injury) Hrncar D. (Inactive) Verrips M. (Shoulder Injury)

There will not play in La Louvière: Belkheir M. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Dender EH: Gallon G. (Inactive) Kvet R. (Inactive)

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Dender EH won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:6. (average 1.3:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Dender EH won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:5. (average 0.3:1.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
15	RAAL La Louviere	8	1	1	6	8:18	-10	4

Last Results with these Odds

Dender EH - the odds 2.95 are the expected chance of winning is 32.07%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FCV Dender EH
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
24.04.26	Cercle Brugge - Dender EH	2:1 ✺
19.04.26	Dender EH - Cercle Brugge	1:4 ✺
12.04.26	Dender EH - Zulte Waregem	1:2 ✺
06.04.26	RAAL La Louvière - Dender EH	0:1 ✺
22.03.26	Dender EH - Gent	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 LLLWL
- RAAL La Louvière
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
26.04.26	Zulte Waregem - RAAL La Louvière	4:0 ✺
19.04.26	RAAL La Louvière - Zulte Waregem	0:2 ✺
11.04.26	Cercle Brugge - RAAL La Louvière	3:0 ✺
06.04.26	RAAL La Louvière - Dender EH	0:1 ✺
22.03.26	RAAL La Louvière - Genk	5:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Belgian Jupiler Pro League
06.04.26	RAAL La Louvière - Dender EH	0:1
05.12.25	RAAL La Louvière - Dender EH	1:2
28.09.25	Dender EH - RAAL La Louvière	0:0
Club Friendly
20.07.24	Dender EH - RAAL La Louvière	0:3
Belgian National Division 1
11.01.20	RAAL La Louvière - Dender EH	0:4
21.09.19	Dender EH - RAAL La Louvière	1:2

Dender EH - RAAL La Louvière: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide