Match Info

2nd Division - Relegation Group - Round 24

Date: 25 April 2025, Friday

Location: Gentofte Sportspark (Gentofte)


	Hellerup		Nykøbing

	1	X	2
	1.34	4.6	6.75
	2.03	3.1	3.35
	2.13	3.36	3.3
				Watch
	2.15	3.26	3.36	Watch
	1.97	3.15	3.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↑ (1.36)	3.49 ↓ (4.53)	4.04 ↓ (6.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hellerup
49.3%

Draw
27.2%

Nykøbing
23.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66%

19.8%

14.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.9%

19%

13.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hellerup has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hellerup's form might have worsened.

Nykøbing has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Nykøbing's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hellerup than the current prediction. (+19.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hellerup, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nykøbing than the current prediction. (-9.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nykøbing, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Hellerup - Nykøbing Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Nykøbing will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Nykøbing (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Nykøbing (2.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Nykøbing (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
27. Thorup O. (G) 19. Bagou D. 3. Chernet D. 14. Christensen V. 34. Dedes V. 15. Enggaard V. 10. Garly A. 5. Moller O. 70. Rindom J. 6. Thomsen E. 23. Valdbjorn F.	1. Brylov M. (G) 2. Angus O. 21. Basse M. 23. Gartig O. 24. Hansen M. 32. Jensen L. 4. Molgaard V. 7. Nyman L. 16. Ogude E. 12. Svendsen O. 5. Ullum P.
Substitutes
22. Acunto-de Lorenzo E. 4. Bedzeti H. 8. Damkjaer J. 1. Haslund M. (G) 2. Larsen M. 11. Olsen M. 12. Sogaard A.	19. Basse O. 15. Berner R. 9. Dahl M. 11. Kold B. 8. Pank J. 25. Rasmussen J. (G) 10. Wass E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
34', 0 - 1, Ogude E. ⚽,
44', 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
62', 1 - 1, ⚽,
67', 🟨,
71', 🟨,
85', 🟨,
90+3', 🟨,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Hellerup won 1.

Recent matches Hellerup is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Nykøbing is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recently Nykøbing have a series of home games.

In this match Hellerup is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 15 head-to-head matches Hellerup won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 13 matches and goals 10:35 (average 0.7:2.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Hellerup won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 9:16 (average 1.1:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hellerup IK
Danish 2 Division
18.04.25	Thisted - Hellerup	1:1 ✺
12.04.25	Middelfart - Hellerup	2:1 ✺
05.04.25	Hellerup - Aarhus Fremad	0:4 ✺
28.03.25	Fremad Amager - Hellerup	2:3 ✺
21.03.25	Hellerup - Helsingør	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17 TLLWW
- Nykøbing FC
Danish 2 Division
21.04.25	Nykøbing - BK Frem	1:1 ✺
12.04.25	Nykøbing - Skive IK	1:1 ✺
04.04.25	AB Copenhagen - Nykøbing	3:0 ✺
28.03.25	Nykøbing - Næstved BK	0:2 ✺
23.03.25	Nykøbing - Middelfart	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 TTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Danish 2 Division
07.03.25	Nykøbing - Hellerup	4:0
30.08.24	Hellerup - Nykøbing	3:0
09.03.24	Nykøbing - Hellerup	1:0
25.08.23	Hellerup - Nykøbing	2:3
Club Friendly
21.01.23	Hellerup - Nykøbing	1:3
Danish Landspokal Cup
02.08.22	Hellerup - Nykøbing	0:1
Club Friendly
05.02.22	Nykøbing - Hellerup	3:0

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