Match Info

2nd Division - Round 11

Date: 11 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Nykøbing		VSK Aarhus

	1	X	2
	1.55	4.10	4.40
	1.56	3.90	4.50
	1.55	4.57	4.64
	1.62	4.42	4.41	Watch
	1.53	4.50	4.55
	1.58	4.48	4.65
	1.52	4.20	4.90
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↓ (1.7)	4.31 ↑ (3.58)	4.58 ↑ (4.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Nykøbing
58.8%

Draw
21.2%

VSK Aarhus
20%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

53.5%

25.4%

21.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.8%

24.4%

20.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nykøbing has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nykøbing's performance.

VSK Aarhus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nykøbing than the current prediction. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for VSK Aarhus than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Nykøbing - VSK Aarhus Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
12', 1 - 0, ⚽,
30', 2 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
78', 2 - 1, ⚽,
90+4', 3 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

A clash between two contenders competing at the top of the table (ranked 1st in the Promotion - 2nd Division (Promotion Group: ) and 3rd in the Promotion - 2nd Division (Promotion Group: )).

Nykøbing has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

VSK Aarhus has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Recently, VSK Aarhus has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.

Nykøbing carries the favorite tag into this contest.

Our forecast points to a victory for Nykøbing in today's match, at odds of 1.7.

These two teams have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Nykobing	13	8	4	1	33:15	18	28
3	VSK Aarhus	13	5	5	3	19:14	5	20

Last Results with these Odds

Nykøbing - the odds 1.7 are the expected chance of winning is 53.52%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nykøbing FC
Danish 2 Division
02.10.26	Næstved BK - Nykøbing	1:1 ✺
26.09.26	Brabrand - Nykøbing	1:1 ✺
18.09.26	Nykøbing - Hellerup	3:0 ✺
13.09.26	Nykøbing - FA 2000	3:1 ✺
Danish Landspokal Cup
09.09.26	Nykøbing - Middelfart	6:5 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 TTWWW
- VSK Aarhus
Danish 2 Division
02.10.26	VSK Aarhus - Brabrand	0:2 ✺
26.09.26	VSK Aarhus - Skive IK	1:0 ✺
19.09.26	Middelfart - VSK Aarhus	1:1 ✺
Danish 2 Division - Group 1
13.09.26	VSK Aarhus - B.93 Copenhagen	2:2 ✺
Danish Landspokal Cup
09.09.26	VSK Aarhus - Lyngby BK	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LWTTL

Upcoming Matches