Match Info

Date: 11 July 2022, Monday

Location: Olympia (Helsingborg)

Referee: Maqedonci G. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Discovery+
Sweden	Discovery+


	Helsingborg		Djurgården

	1	X	2
	5.75	4.2	1.55	Watch
	5.5	4	1.55
	6	4.1	1.56
	5.6	4	1.53
	6.08	4.29	1.58
	5.8	3.8	1.5	Watch
	5.8	4.15	1.57	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.79 ↓ (6.1)	4.08 ↑ (3.93)	1.55 ↑ (1.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Helsingborg
16.2%

Draw
23.1%

Djurgården
60.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.4%

23.9%

60.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.6%

24.3%

59.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Helsingborg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Djurgården has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Helsingborg than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Djurgården than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.7%	11.3%	76.1%

Helsingborg - Djurgården Predictions

Users Predictions: 71 users predict this event. Helsingborg will win (votes: 9 - 12.7%). Djurgården will win (votes: 54 - 76.1%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 11.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Djurgården: 66.2% – 86%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Helsingborg has the most likely position - 16 (35.4%), has project points - 22, has currently - 6, has a good chance of relegated (70%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Djurgården has the most likely position - 1 (25.14%), has project points - 55, has currently - 24, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of qualify for ucl (25%), has a chance of win league (25%).

This event has small quality 22, importance 59, match rating 40. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Helsingborg won 1.

Helsingborg is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Djurgården is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Helsingborg could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Djurgården is a favorite.

There will not play in Helsingborg: Hendriksson Olsen B. (Injury) Karjalainen R. (Injury) Suljic A. (Injury)

There will not play in Djurgården: Kack E. (Injury)

Last 16 head-to-head matches Helsingborg won 2 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 19-25.

Including matches at home between the teams Helsingborg won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Helsingborg IF
Swedish Allsvenskan
02.07.22	Helsingborg - Kalmar	1:1 ✺
27.06.22	Malmö - Helsingborg	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
21.06.22	Helsingborg - Jönköpings Södra	2:0 ✺
17.06.22	Elfsborg - Helsingborg	1:0 ✺
Swedish Allsvenskan
29.05.22	Helsingborg - AIK	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 TLWLL
- Djurgårdens IF
Swedish Allsvenskan
03.07.22	Djurgården - Hammarby	1:0 ✺
26.06.22	Sundsvall - Djurgården	2:5 ✺
Club Friendly
17.06.22	Sirius - Djurgården	3:3 ✺
Swedish Allsvenskan
29.05.22	Djurgården - Varbergs BoIS	4:0 ✺
22.05.22	Kalmar - Djurgården	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Allsvenskan
05.05.22	Djurgården - Helsingborg	2:2
30.08.20	Helsingborg - Djurgården	3:1
06.07.20	Djurgården - Helsingborg	2:2
16.09.19	Djurgården - Helsingborg	2:0
06.05.19	Helsingborg - Djurgården	1:1
Svenska Cupen
04.03.17	Djurgården - Helsingborg	1:0
Swedish Allsvenskan
27.10.16	Helsingborg - Djurgården	1:2

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