Match Info

Superettan - Round 5

Date: 27 April 2025, Sunday

Location: Olympia (Helsingborg)

Referee: Buqa F. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV
Sweden	Discovery+, max Extra 6, Max, TV4 Play


	Helsingborg		Kalmar

	1	X	2
	2.8	3.3	2.35
	2.5	3.2	2.6
	2.94	3.19	2.44	Watch
	2.98	3.45	2.5
	2.9	3.19	2.46
	2.45	3.2	2.62
	2.85	3.4	2.4	Watch
	2.94	3.19	2.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.8 ↑ (2.58)	3.27 ↓ (3.42)	2.48 ↓ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Helsingborg
33.5%

Draw
28.7%

Kalmar
37.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.4%

27.5%

36.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.8%

28.5%

34.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Helsingborg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Kalmar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Helsingborg than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kalmar than the current prediction. (-3%)

Helsingborg - Kalmar Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Kalmar (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Kalmar (1.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Kalmar (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Brattberg J. (G) 19. Orn B. 4. Gudmann M. 2. Birkfeldt J. (C) 23. Westerlund W. 7. Loeper W. 6. Asoma S. 14. Kjellnas L. 10. Svensson M. 21. Svanback A. 29. Aga O.	1. Brolin S. (G) 26. Motaraghebjafarpour A. 39. Saetra L. 47. Keita A. 3. Overby S. 10. Jebara C. 5. Hallberg M. (C) 23. R. Gojani 21. Magashy A. 19. Ylatupa S. 11. Olusanya A.
Substitutes
9. Akimey A. 27. Bajo E. 5. Bengtsson S. 15. Gorefalt T. 31. Nordin A. 30. Radahl E. (G) 11. Rasmussen M.	7. Atanga I. 14. Djoro A. 4. Jansson R. 30. Kindberg J. (G) 28. Sabriye A. 6. Sjostedt R. 9. Stolt M.
Coaches
Saarenpaa K.	Koskela T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 5)
7', 0 - 1, Magashy A. ⚽, Jebara C. (A),
10', 0 - 2, Saetra L. ⚽, Hallberg M. (A),
11', Jebara C. 🟨,
21', 1 - 2, Gudmann M. ⚽,
26', 1 - 3, Orn B. (Own goal),
38', 1 - 4, Saetra L. ⚽, Hallberg M. (A),
42', 1 - 5, Olusanya A. ⚽, Saetra L. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
47', Svensson M. 🟨,
58', Svanback A. ↓, Akimey A. ↑,
59', Svensson M. ↓, Rasmussen M. ↑,
69', Westerlund W. ↓, Bajo E. ↑,
70', Magashy A. ↓, Sabriye A. ↑,
70', Jebara C. ↓, Atanga I. ↑,
72', Orn B. 🟨,
77', Orn B. ↓, Gorefalt T. ↑,
77', Asoma S. ↓, Nordin A. ↑,
79', Olusanya A. ↓, Stolt M. ↑,
79', Motaraghebjafarpour A. ↓, Jansson R. ↑,
81', Gudmann M. 🟨,
86', Ylatupa S. ↓, Djoro A. ↑,

Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 10 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Allsvenskan).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Helsingborg won 0.

Recent matches Helsingborg is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Kalmar is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Kalmar could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Helsingborg won 5 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 27:29 (average 1.4:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Helsingborg won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 21:11 (average 2.3:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Helsingborg IF
Swedish Superettan
22.04.25	Helsingborg - Västerås SK	2:0 ✺
15.04.25	Örebro - Helsingborg	0:2 ✺
05.04.25	Helsingborg - Sandviken	1:2 ✺
29.03.25	Sundsvall - Helsingborg	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
22.03.25	Värnamo - Helsingborg	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WWLLL
- Kalmar FF
Swedish Superettan
20.04.25	Kalmar - Östersund	2:0 ✺
11.04.25	Oddevold - Kalmar	1:3 ✺
05.04.25	Kalmar - Sundsvall	1:0 ✺
29.03.25	Sandviken - Kalmar	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
23.03.25	Kalmar - Öster	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WWWTT

Latest Head to Head

Svenska Cupen
05.03.23	Kalmar - Helsingborg	4:1
Swedish Allsvenskan
02.10.22	Kalmar - Helsingborg	2:0
02.07.22	Helsingborg - Kalmar	1:1
09.09.20	Helsingborg - Kalmar	1:1
18.06.20	Kalmar - Helsingborg	4:0
30.09.19	Helsingborg - Kalmar	2:0
11.05.19	Kalmar - Helsingborg	1:0

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